Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar: match statistics
Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin play Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 43%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 24%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.23. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.3.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32. Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Bahardar is a slight favorite: they sit 8th versus Ethiopian Medhin's 19th and have better recent form (last 5: Bahardar 2W, 2D, 1L; Medhin 1W, 3D, 1L). The visitors have a higher points-per-game in the last 5 matches 1.6 vs 1.2 for the home side and superior shot efficiency (conversion 8% vs 7%). Medhin at home posts 54% possession and averages 8 shots per game with 2.45 on target, but scores only 0.5 goals with xG 1.26 and records 67% of matches goalless, indicating finishing issues. Bahardar away averages 0.62 goals with xG 1.13, concedes 0.69 on average and keeps a clean sheet in 54% of matches, giving them a defensive edge. Considering these numbers — higher league position, 1.6 vs 1.2 PPG, better conversion and more clean sheets — I forecast a victory for the visitors, although a draw remains realistic given the high draw rates of both teams (50% for the home side, 54% for the visitors).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopian Medhin is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopian Medhin is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under — Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopian Medhin 0 - 0 - 1 Bahardar. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 1:1 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.78 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 32% of Bahardar's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bahardar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.