Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very even contest between both sides, pointing towards a draw. Excelsior displays poor home form with a 50% loss rate, but they achieve 33% wins at home and have a better goal difference in home matches (-3) than Go Ahead Eagles do away (-7). Go Ahead Eagles are characterized by a high draw percentage on the road (42%), which confirms their tendency to share points. Both teams have similar form in their last five matches (PPG 1.0 vs 0.8) and exhibit comparable xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Considering both teams' poor efficiency and their propensity to concede goals, I expect an open match culminating in a share of the points, most likely with a 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline.
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Excelsior played against Go Ahead Eagles in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Excelsior has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Go Ahead Eagles has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Excelsior scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.71. Go Ahead Eagles scores 1.54 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Excelsior's games and 67% of Go Ahead Eagles's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 63%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Go Ahead Eagles has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.28 per game. Excelsior takes 11.3 shots per game, while Go Ahead Eagles takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Excelsior leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Go Ahead Eagles leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Excelsior's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Go Ahead Eagles, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a very even contest between both sides, pointing towards a draw. Excelsior displays poor home form with a 50% loss rate, but they achieve 33% wins at home and have a better goal difference in home matches (-3) than Go Ahead Eagles do away (-7). Go Ahead Eagles are characterized by a high draw percentage on the road (42%), which confirms their tendency to share points. Both teams have similar form in their last five matches (PPG 1.0 vs 0.8) and exhibit comparable xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Considering both teams' poor efficiency and their propensity to concede goals, I expect an open match culminating in a share of the points, most likely with a 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Go Ahead Eagles is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.54 goals / game - Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.63 goals / game - Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Go Ahead Eagles keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
Go Ahead Eagles scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Excelsior
Over / Under - Go Ahead Eagles
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Excelsior · 1.17 pts / game - Go Ahead Eagles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Go Ahead Eagles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.79 | 3.20 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 62% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 21% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Excelsior's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Go Ahead Eagles. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 0:1 Go Ahead Eagles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Excelsior score 1.08 goals per game on average and Go Ahead Eagles 1.54. The Eredivisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Excelsior's matches and 67% of Go Ahead Eagles's.
What form are Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Go Ahead Eagles 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.