Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.12. Fasil Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Adama Kenema). Adama scored 29 goals this season versus Fasil’s 20, and in the last 5 matches Adama has 5 goals while the hosts have only 2. The visitors control the game with 59% possession on the road and despite averaging 5.69 shots (vs 7.13 for the hosts) they convert far better – 18% vs Fasil’s 8%. Defensively Adama conceded 3 goals in the last 5 fixtures and concedes 0.93 goals on average away, while Fasil conceded 8 goals in the last 5 and has 0.8 goals conceded at home and only 0.8 points per match in that period. Although Fasil has a higher home clean sheet percentage (53% vs 40% for Adama) and similar xG (1.1 vs 1.04), the visitors’ superior efficiency and form give them the edge.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adama Kenema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Fasil Ketema is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 1 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 3:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
The statistical background for Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.