Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City: match statistics
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Forfar Athletic played against Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Station Park. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Forfar Athletic has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Elgin City has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Forfar Athletic scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.67. Elgin City scores 2.78 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 3.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Forfar Athletic's games and 67% of Elgin City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 78%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Elgin City has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.13 per game. Forfar Athletic takes 8.4 shots per game, while Elgin City takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Forfar Athletic leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Elgin City leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Forfar Athletic's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Elgin City, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.40 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forfar Athletic have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Elgin City have lost 2 of their 4 away games, so I give the hosts a slight edge. Forfar’s defense could be key: they concede an average of 0.75 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches, whereas Elgin concede an average of 1.75 goals away from home. However, the visitors are clearly more clinical in attack, scoring an average of 2.25 goals away compared with the hosts’ 1.25 at home. The gap in the quality of chances created is smaller than the goal figures suggest: Elgin’s away xG is 1.30, while Forfar’s home xG is 1.18. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, so the hosts’ edge is based primarily on their results and stronger defensive record at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 80% of Forfar Athletic’s matches and 50% of Elgin City’s, giving a moderate edge to the scenario in which both teams score. The home side averaged 3.2 goals scored, while the visitors averaged 2.25, with respective averages of 1.8 and 1.75 goals conceded. Their attacking potential is backed by similar xG figures: 1.33 for Forfar and 1.30 for Elgin. However, caution is warranted, as BTTS landed in only 40% of each team’s last 5 matches. Even so, Forfar have not had a match without scoring, while Elgin failed to score in 25% of their matches, so both teams to score remains slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
All of Forfar Athletic’s home matches to date and Elgin City’s away matches have gone over 1.5 goals, providing the strongest signal for this line. At least 3 goals were scored in 80% of the hosts’ matches and 75% of the visitors’ away games, although these figures fell to 40% and 60%, respectively, across both teams’ last 5 appearances. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG figures of 1.33 for Forfar and 1.30 for Elgin, rising to 1.64 and 1.34, respectively, over their last 5 matches. The projected total of 3.15 goals also points towards a higher-scoring game, but given the hosts’ weaker recent goal-scoring returns, Over 1.5 goals is the safer pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is that Forfar will lead at the break: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches and did not concede in the first half in any of them, while Elgin were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 matches. The hosts’ home record supports them maintaining their advantage: they won 60% of their matches and scored an average of 3.2 goals, while Elgin lost 50% of their away matches and conceded an average of 1.75 goals. Across these matches, Forfar scored an average of 2.2 goals after half-time compared with 1.0 for Elgin, strengthening the case for 1/1. Confidence is tempered, however, by recent second-half form: Forfar failed to score after the break in their last 5 matches, while Elgin averaged 1.2 goals in that period. The teams’ xG figures are also similar—1.33 for the hosts and 1.30 for the visitors—so Forfar leading from half-time to full-time is the most likely scenario, but not a clear-cut favorite.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Forfar Athletic | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 58% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Elgin City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Forfar Athletic · 1.2 pts / game - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 178% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Forfar Athletic · 2.78 goals / game - Elgin City
Forfar Athletic is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Forfar Athletic · 1.78 goals / game - Elgin City
Forfar Athletic scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
Elgin City scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
Over / Under - Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Forfar Athletic · 1.44 pts / game - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Forfar Athletic
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Forfar Athletic | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 3.40 | ▲ 4.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Forfar Athletic's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Elgin City. Games average 3.20 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Forfar Athletic 1:2 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forfar Athletic and Elgin City?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Forfar Athletic won 2, Elgin City won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
Forfar Athletic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Elgin City 2.78. The League Two average is 3.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Forfar Athletic's matches and 67% of Elgin City's.
What form are Forfar Athletic and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Forfar Athletic have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Elgin City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.