Forge FC vs Cavalry FC: match statistics
Forge FC vs Cavalry FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Forge FC played against Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The game was played on May 31, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Forge FC has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Cavalry FC has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Forge FC scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 0.43. Cavalry FC scores 1.71 and allows 0.43. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Forge FC's games and 43% of Cavalry FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 43%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cavalry FC has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.43 per game. Forge FC takes 12.4 shots per game, while Cavalry FC takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Forge FC leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Cavalry FC leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Forge FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Cavalry FC, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Canadian Premier League games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Forge FC (1) victory. Forge concedes on average 0 goals per home match and has 100% clean sheets with xG against of 0.56, indicating an exceptionally tight defense. Cavalry have scored 12 goals this season versus Forge’s 9, and score an average of 1.25 goals away with a conversion rate of 11% versus the home side’s 7%, giving the visitors an edge in finishing efficiency. In the last 5 matches both teams have won 4 games each (Forge 4-0-1 with 10 goals; Cavalry 4-1-0 with 9 goals) and have similar points averages over this period: 2.4 for Forge and 2.6 for Cavalry. Considering the clear defensive advantage of the home side (lower xG against 0.56 vs 1.38) and comparable offensive metrics (xG 1.49 vs 1.42), I expect a tight, low-scoring match decided narrowly in Forge’s favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key indicators favor BTTS - No. Cavalry have 75% clean sheets away with a season BTTS of only 25%, while Forge at home average 2.33 goals per game, xG 1.83 and 6.0 shots on target, and a home BTTS of 67% — a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. However, in the shorter 5-match window both teams had BTTS in only 40% of matches each, and their goals conceded averages over the last 5 are 0.6 for Forge and 0.4 for Cavalry, weakening the case for Goal/Goal. Additionally Cavalry concede only 0.25 goals away on the season and combined with 75% clean sheets this provides a strong signal for No Goal / clean sheet expected. Therefore I forecast 62% No and 38% BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total expected goals at 2.81 (1.61 for Forge, 1.20 for Cavalry), calculated as the average of attacking xG (Forge 1.83, Cavalry 1.42) and opponents’ defensive xG (Cavalry 1.38, Forge 0.99). Forge scores on average 2.33 goals per game and has 100% of home matches with over 1.5 goals, while Cavalry records 1.25 goals per game and 50% of away matches with over 1.5 goals. Forge averages 16.67 shots per match (6.0 on target) with a 14% conversion rate, and Cavalry 11.25 shots (4.25 on target) with an 11% conversion, which favors the home side in chance creation. Additionally, Forge has 67% of matches with both teams scoring, versus only 25% for Cavalry, so the home offensive edge should account for at least two goals in the match. For these reasons I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈90% probability), while the 2.5 line looks moderate (~66%), and 3.5 has low probability (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: the home side were level at the break in 67% of their matches and the visitors in 75%, indicating a high proportion of HT draws (approximately 71% on average). Nevertheless, I expect the hosts to win after the interval, since Forge FC average 2.33 goals per match versus Cavalry FC’s 1.25, have a higher xG (1.83 vs. 1.42) and generate more shots (16.67 vs. 11.25) and shots on target (6.0 vs. 4.25). The home team also average 1.33 second-half goals compared to the visitors’ 1.00, which raises the likelihood of a turnaround after an even first half. Defensive strengths of the visitors must be considered: Cavalry have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches this season and concede only 0.25 goals on average, so draw outcomes and a visitors’ win cannot be ruled out. Overall, the strongest signal from the data is a Half-Time draw followed by a home win (X/1), and therefore this outcome is assigned the highest share.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Forge FC | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cavalry FC is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Forge FC · 2.2 pts / game - Cavalry FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Forge FC · 1.71 goals / game - Cavalry FC
Forge FC scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
Cavalry FC scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forge FC
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Forge FC
Cavalry FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Forge FC | Liga | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.71 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 43% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 25% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Forge FC's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses against Cavalry FC. Games average 1.83 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Forge FC vs Cavalry FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Forge FC 1:0 Cavalry FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forge FC and Cavalry FC?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Forge FC won 1, Cavalry FC won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forge FC vs Cavalry FC?
Forge FC score 1.29 goals per game on average and Cavalry FC 1.71. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Forge FC's matches and 43% of Cavalry FC's.
What form are Forge FC and Cavalry FC in?
Over the last 5 games Forge FC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cavalry FC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forge FC vs Cavalry FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.