Forlì vs Livorno: match statistics
Forlì vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Forlì played against Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadio Tullo Morgagni. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Forlì has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Livorno has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Forlì scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.50. Livorno scores 1.25 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Forlì's games and 50% of Livorno's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 38%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forlì has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.47 per game. Forlì takes 12.9 shots per game, while Livorno takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Forlì leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Livorno leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Forlì's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Livorno, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forlì have a clear home advantage: they have won 2 of their 3 matches and scored an average of 3 goals, while Livorno are yet to win away and have managed just 0.33 goals per game. The hosts also create more danger, averaging 1.93 xG and 5.33 shots on target at home, compared with Livorno’s 1.30 xG and 3.33 shots on target away. Livorno have failed to score in 67% of their away matches, limiting their chances despite Forlì conceding an average of 1.67 goals at home and failing to keep a clean sheet there. The hosts have recorded just one win and three draws in their last five matches, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. However, Forlì’s attacking edge and Livorno’s lack of away wins point to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring is Livorno’s away record: an average of 0.33 goals scored, with no goal in 67% of such matches. Forlì average 1.8 goals at home, so a goal from the hosts looks more likely than one from the visitors. Caution is warranted, however, as Livorno have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games. Forlì have also seen both teams score in 80% of their last five matches, but this signal is somewhat weakened by Livorno’s low away shot-conversion rate of 3%. Therefore, the slight edge goes to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in Livorno’s matches, while it has been exceeded in 40% of Forlì’s games. The home side average 1.8 goals at home, but the visitors concede an average of 1.0 away from home, limiting expectations for Forlì’s score. Livorno score just 0.33 goals per game away, although their average of 1.4 goals over the last five matches suggests their scoring potential should not be ruled out. Both teams’ attacking output also points to caution: their average xG figures are 1.58 and 1.30, respectively, while the projected total of 2.5 goals remains well below the selected line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Forlì were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches, while Livorno were level at half-time in 2 of their 3 away games. The visitors have yet to concede in the first half away from home, which limits the chances of the hosts taking an early lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Forlì, who average 1.0 goals in that half at home, while Livorno concede an average of 1.0 goals away and have yet to score in any second half. The case for a home win is also supported by Forlì’s 4 wins in 5 home matches, compared with Livorno’s lack of an away win in 3 games. The sample is small, and 2 of Livorno’s 3 away games ended in a draw, so a full-time draw remains a significant alternative to the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Forlì | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Livorno is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Forlì · 1.4 pts / game - Livorno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Forlì · 1.25 goals / game - Livorno
Livorno is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Forlì · 1.13 goals / game - Livorno
Forlì scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
Livorno scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forlì
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Forlì · 1.38 pts / game - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Forlì
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Forlì | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.13 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Forlì's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Livorno. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Forlì vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 1:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forlì and Livorno?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Forlì won 1, Livorno won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Livorno?
Forlì score 1.63 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.25. The Serie C Group B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Forlì's matches and 50% of Livorno's.
What form are Forlì and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Forlì vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.