FS Jelgava vs Tukums: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FS Jelgava played against Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on June 21, 2026. Venue: Zemgales Olimpiskā centra. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
FS Jelgava has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Tukums has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
FS Jelgava scores 0.72 goals per game and allows 1.83. Tukums scores 1.78 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of FS Jelgava's games and 89% of Tukums's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 72%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tukums has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.24 per game. FS Jelgava takes 9.9 shots per game, while Tukums takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
FS Jelgava leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Tukums leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
FS Jelgava's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Tukums, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Tukums). Tukums has a clear offensive advantage: 32 goals scored this season versus Jelgava's 13, and an average of 1.38 goals away compared to the hosts' 0.78 at home. The visitors average 4.5 shots on target per match with a 12% shot conversion, while Jelgava records 3.44 shots on target and a 7% conversion, and xG for both teams is similar (1.37 vs 1.31), indicating better efficiency from Tukums with comparable chance quality. Both teams are vulnerable defensively: Jelgava concedes 2.00 goals at home, Tukums 2.25 away, and average xG against is 1.63 and 1.64, so I expect an open game with goals. Note also that Tukums have no away wins this season (win% 0) and register 50% draws on the road, so a draw remains a realistic outcome despite the visitors' advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong BTTS signal: FS Jelgava has 90% of matches with both teams scoring this season, Tukums 88%, while the league BTTS rate is 60%. In the last 5 matches Jelgava had BTTS in 60% of games, Tukums in 80%; in those five matches Jelgava scored 3 goals (0.6 avg) and conceded 9 (1.8), and Tukums scored 5 (1.0) and conceded 11 (2.2). xG shows both sides create roughly 1.39 and 1.37 xG per match while allowing 1.65 and 1.64 xG, indicating an exchange of goal-scoring opportunities; average shots on target 5.2 vs 4.5 further confirm chance creation. Additionally clean sheets are rare (10% for Jelgava and 0% for Tukums), and matches over 2.5 goals occur in 70% and 75% of cases, which increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal. Based on this I rate BTTS - Yes at 88% vs 12% No Goal, due to the dominant seasonal signals 90%/88% and the very low probability of a clean sheet 10%/0%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect approximately 2.76 total goals in the match (xG: 1.39 for FS Jelgava vs 1.37 for Tukums), which indicates a high likelihood of goals. This season both teams have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, and the share of matches where both teams scored is 90% for Jelgava and 88% for Tukums, significantly increasing the chance of goals from both sides. Jelgava averages 5.2 shots on target with an 18% conversion, and Tukums 4.5 shots on target with a 12% conversion; their seasonal over 2.5 rates are 70% and 75% (average ~73%), so Over 2.5 is also likely. In the last 5 matches Jelgava scored 3 and conceded 9 goals (0.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game), and Tukums scored 5 and conceded 11 (1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded), indicating both teams’ vulnerability to conceding. Given these figures the best pick is Over 1.5 — a strong signal (100% this season) supported by an xG of 2.76 and a high incidence of Over 2.5 (~73%), while Over 3.5 remains less clear (around 39%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). Statistics show a half-time draw for the home side in 40% of matches, while home teams led only 30%, which gives an advantage to a draw at the break. Full-time results also favor draws: home teams draw 40% of matches, away teams 50%, and away teams have no away wins (0%), so a decisive result is less likely. The xG of both teams is almost identical (1.39 versus 1.37) and the average shots on target are 5.2 vs 4.5, suggesting an even game; on that basis I estimate that a half-time draw will hold until the end in about 66% of HT draws, giving X/X roughly a 26% probability. Therefore I recommend the X/X selection as the strongest signal — the high proportion of HT draws (40%), the high proportion of FT draws (40–50%) and the similar xG (1.39/1.37) provide a logical rationale for this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tukums is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - FS Jelgava · 0.8 pts / game - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 147% better for: goals scored per game.
0.72 goals / game - FS Jelgava · 1.78 goals / game - Tukums
FS Jelgava scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 meczów).
Tukums scores in 94% of games (17 of 18 meczów), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - FS Jelgava · 1 pts / game - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FS Jelgava
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from FS Jelgava's perspective: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Tukums. Games average 2.83 goals, and both teams scored in 83% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 4:1 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Tukums?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 2, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
FS Jelgava score 0.72 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.78. The Virsliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of FS Jelgava's matches and 89% of Tukums's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Tukums 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FS Jelgava vs Tukums: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.