Gagra vs Rustavi: match statistics
Gagra vs Rustavi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gagra played against Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The game was played on November 1, 2026. Venue: Stadioni Mtskheta Parki. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Gagra has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Rustavi has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Gagra scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.43. Rustavi scores 1.20 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Gagra's games and 43% of Rustavi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 40%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rustavi has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.31 per game. Gagra takes 10.0 shots per game, while Rustavi takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Gagra leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Rustavi leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gagra's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Rustavi, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Erovnuli Liga games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rustavi sit 4th and have won 15 of their 30 matches, while eighth-placed Gagra have recorded 6 victories. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals in that run; the hosts have won just once, scoring 4. Rustavi’s biggest edge is their defensive record: they concede an average of 0.87 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 33% of matches, compared with Gagra conceding 1.27 goals per home game and keeping clean sheets in 20%. The gap in the quality of chances created is small — Gagra’s home xG is 1.49, while Rustavi’s away xG is 1.36 — so an away win is far from certain. A draw remains a significant possibility, as both teams have drawn 47% of their matches at home and away respectively. However, current form and a tighter defense favor Rustavi.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
It is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score: this season, both teams scored in 33% of Gagra’s matches and 53% of Rustavi’s. Gagra kept a clean sheet in 47% of its matches, while Rustavi failed to score in 27%, which particularly limits the visitors’ chances of finding the net. On the other hand, both teams scored in 60% of each side’s last 5 matches, so the lean towards BTTS - No is slight. Average xG stands at 1.34 for Gagra and 1.36 for Rustavi, but the visitors score just 1.0 goals per match on average compared with the hosts’ 1.4, so the potential for both sides to score does not provide a strong enough signal for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest indicator is Under 3.5 goals: this total was recorded in 87% of Gagra's matches and 100% of Rustavi's. Both teams concede an average of 0.87 goals per game this season, while Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Gagra average 1.4 goals scored and Rustavi 1.0, putting the projected total at 2.30 goals. In their last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of cases, making the lower line less certain. Despite this uptick in goalscoring form, the season-long frequency of matches finishing Under 3.5 goals supports this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Gagra were level at the break in 47% of their matches, while Rustavi were level in 53%; the visitors concede an average of just 0.13 goals before half-time. Although the hosts have earned 2.0 points per match over the season compared with the visitors’ 1.47, the last five matches favor Rustavi: 1.8 points per match versus 1.0, and three wins versus one. The visitors’ advantage is particularly evident after the break, when they have scored an average of 0.8 goals compared with Gagra’s 0.2, while the hosts have conceded an average of 1.0 goal. Therefore, I’m backing a draw at half-time and a Rustavi win at full-time (X/2), although Gagra’s season-long strength makes this a pick with moderate confidence.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gagra | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rustavi is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Gagra · 1.8 pts / game - Rustavi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rustavi is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Gagra · 1.2 goals / game - Rustavi
Rustavi is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Gagra · 0.87 goals / game - Rustavi
Gagra scores in 63% of games (19 of 30 games), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 games).
Rustavi scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 games), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gagra
Over / Under - Rustavi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Gagra · 1.7 pts / game - Rustavi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gagra
Rustavi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Gagra | Liga | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.30 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- GagraYellow cardVinicius César
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gagra's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Rustavi. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gagra vs Rustavi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Gagra 2:2 Rustavi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gagra and Rustavi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gagra won 1, Rustavi won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra score 0.87 goals per game on average and Rustavi 1.20. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Gagra's matches and 43% of Rustavi's.
What form are Gagra and Rustavi in?
Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Rustavi 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gagra vs Rustavi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.