Gagra vs Saburtalo: match statistics
Saburtalo appears to be the favorite in this match despite playing away. The visitors show better form in their last five matches (1.4 points per game) compared to Gagra (0.8 points per game). Gagra has a disastrous home record – zero wins, zero draws, and 100% losses in home matches, without scoring a single goal. Saburtalo, despite poor away statistics (also 100% losses), demonstrates greater offensive efficiency overall this season and better form in recent matches (form: wlwld). The xG advantage for the home side in home matches (1.85 vs 1.28) may suggest bad luck, but the 100% ineffectiveness and lack of points at home speaks in favor of the visitors. Taking all factors into account, Saburtalo has a better chance of securing their first away win of the season.
Gagra vs Saburtalo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gagra play Saburtalo in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Gagra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Saburtalo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Saburtalo scores 1.42 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gagra 58%, Saburtalo 53%. Over 2.5: Gagra 42%, Saburtalo 47%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Saburtalo has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.36. Gagra: 10.3 shots per match, Saburtalo: 10.1.
Match halves
Gagra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Saburtalo: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Gagra: 46-60 (5 goals). Saburtalo: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 0-0-5. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Saburtalo appears to be the favorite in this match despite playing away. The visitors show better form in their last five matches (1.4 points per game) compared to Gagra (0.8 points per game). Gagra has a disastrous home record – zero wins, zero draws, and 100% losses in home matches, without scoring a single goal. Saburtalo, despite poor away statistics (also 100% losses), demonstrates greater offensive efficiency overall this season and better form in recent matches (form: wlwld). The xG advantage for the home side in home matches (1.85 vs 1.28) may suggest bad luck, but the 100% ineffectiveness and lack of points at home speaks in favor of the visitors. Taking all factors into account, Saburtalo has a better chance of securing their first away win of the season.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gagra | Saburtalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gagra is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Gagra · 1.4 pts / match - Saburtalo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saburtalo is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Gagra · 1.42 goals / match - Saburtalo
Saburtalo is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Gagra · 0.95 goals / match - Saburtalo
Gagra scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Saburtalo scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gagra
Over / Under — Saburtalo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saburtalo is 107% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Gagra · 1.84 pts / match - Saburtalo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Saburtalo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gagra
Saburtalo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Gagra | Liga | Saburtalo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Gagra 0 - 0 - 5 Saburtalo. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gagra vs Saburtalo?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Gagra 1:2 Saburtalo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gagra and Saburtalo?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Gagra won 0, Saburtalo won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Gagra score 0.95 goals per game on average and Saburtalo 1.42. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gagra's matches and 53% of Saburtalo's.
What form are Gagra and Saburtalo in?
Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Saburtalo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Saburtalo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.