Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh: match statistics
Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gicumbi play Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Gicumbi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Al Merreikh: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gicumbi scores 1.12 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Al Merreikh scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gicumbi 59%, Al Merreikh 41%. Over 2.5: Gicumbi 50%, Al Merreikh 32%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.13. Gicumbi: 7.1 shots per match, Al Merreikh: 6.9.
Match halves
Gicumbi: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53. Al Merreikh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Gicumbi: 31-45+ (9 goals). Al Merreikh: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an Al Merreikh win: the visitors sit 3rd in the table versus Gicumbi’s 12th and possess a clear defensive advantage — Al Merreikh have conceded 15 goals this season compared to Gicumbi’s 41. The defensive gap is also evident on a per-match basis: visitors concede 0.43 goals on average away, hosts concede 1.43 at home, and clean sheet rates are 57% for Al Merreikh versus 21% for Gicumbi. In terms of quality of chances xG is similar (1.12 xG for the visitors away vs 1.10 xG for the hosts at home), yet Al Merreikh limit opponents’ xG to 0.99 vs 1.28 for Gicumbi, confirming their ability to neutralize chances. Offensively Gicumbi are more efficient at home (18% conversion and 2.57 shots on target) and have only 14% of home matches without a goal, but in the last 5 fixtures they have scored 5 goals and averaged 1.4 points, while Al Merreikh have scored 6 goals and averaged 1.6 points. Considering table position, the visitors’ superior win record (14 vs 8) and the clear defensive edge, I assess the probabilities as: 60% Al Merreikh win, 25% draw and 15% Gicumbi win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gicumbi | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gicumbi is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gicumbi · 0.2 pts / match - Al Merreikh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Gicumbi · 1.21 goals / match - Al Merreikh
Al Merreikh is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Gicumbi · 0.71 goals / match - Al Merreikh
Gicumbi scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).
Al Merreikh scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gicumbi
Over / Under — Al Merreikh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Merreikh is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1.44 pts / match - Al Merreikh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gicumbi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gicumbi
Al Merreikh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Gicumbi | Liga | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gicumbi 0 - 0 - 1 Al Merreikh. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh?
The National Soccer League match finished Gicumbi 0:3 Al Merreikh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh?
Gicumbi score 1.12 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 1.21. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Gicumbi's matches and 41% of Al Merreikh's.
What form are Gicumbi and Al Merreikh in?
Over the last 5 games Gicumbi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Merreikh 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.