Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Gicumbi vs Police: match statistics

Gicumbi crest
Gicumbi
1 : 2half-time 0:1
Police crest
Police
130%(0.00)
X40%(0.00)
230%(0.00)

Analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a draw appearing as the most probable outcome. Gicumbi presents poor form with four draws and one defeat in their last five matches (0 wins), yet they are capable of scoring at home (averaging 1.1 per match). Police occupies a higher position in the table (6th place), but their away form is highly defensive – a staggering 64% of their matches end with a clean sheet, though they also fail to score in 64% of their fixtures. The last five matches for Police represent a winless streak (2 draws, 3 defeats), confirming their slump in form. Taking into account the visitors' weak away offense (0.45 goals/match) and both teams' tendency to draw, I expect a low-scoring result, likely 1:1 or 0:0. Police holds the possession advantage (58%) and a better defense, which balances Gicumbi's weak home form.

Gicumbi vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Gicumbi played against Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Gicumbi has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Police has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Gicumbi scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.65. Police scores 0.83 and allows 0.52. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 65% of Gicumbi's games and 30% of Police's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 17%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Police has the higher season xG average, 1.13 to 1.07 per game. Gicumbi takes 6.1 shots per game, while Police takes 6.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Gicumbi leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Police leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Gicumbi's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Police, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a draw appearing as the most probable outcome. Gicumbi presents poor form with four draws and one defeat in their last five matches (0 wins), yet they are capable of scoring at home (averaging 1.1 per match). Police occupies a higher position in the table (6th place), but their away form is highly defensive – a staggering 64% of their matches end with a clean sheet, though they also fail to score in 64% of their fixtures. The last five matches for Police represent a winless streak (2 draws, 3 defeats), confirming their slump in form. Taking into account the visitors' weak away offense (0.45 goals/match) and both teams' tendency to draw, I expect a low-scoring result, likely 1:1 or 0:0. Police holds the possession advantage (58%) and a better defense, which balances Gicumbi's weak home form.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
GicumbiPolice
15Shots9
GicumbiPolice
5Shots on target3
GicumbiPolice
2.14xG1.28
GicumbiPolice
7Corners3
GicumbiPolice
115Dangerous attacks68
GicumbiPolice
-1Fouls-1
GicumbiPolice
-1Cards-1
GicumbiPolice

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.13Goals scored / game0.83
GicumbiPolice
1.65Goals allowed / game0.52
GicumbiPolice
48%Average possession50%
GicumbiPolice
2.3Shots on target / game2.48
GicumbiPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.13Shots per game6.22
GicumbiPolice
2.3Shots on target2.48
GicumbiPolice
18.4%Shot conversion13.3%
GicumbiPolice
48%Possession50%
GicumbiPolice
1.07xG for1.13
GicumbiPolice
1.25xG against0.86
GicumbiPolice

Shooting quality

Gicumbi: Efficient finishingPolice: Efficient finishing
GicumbiPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)38%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.490.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gicumbi is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Gicumbi · 0.4 pts / game - Police

Gicumbi
DDDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
26% W30% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-10
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%
Police
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
39% W39% R22% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-5
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gicumbi is 36% better for: goals scored per game.

1.13 goals / game - Gicumbi · 0.83 goals / game - Police

Police is 217% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.65 goals / game - Gicumbi · 0.52 goals / game - Police

Gicumbi scoring profile: strong

Gicumbi scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).

26Goals scored (season)19
GicumbiPolice
38Goals conceded (season)12
GicumbiPolice
2.78Average goals per game1.35
GicumbiPolice
4Goals scored (last 5)1
GicumbiPolice
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
GicumbiPolice

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal57%
GicumbiPolice
26%2 goals17%
GicumbiPolice
9%3 goals4%
GicumbiPolice
4%4 goals4%
GicumbiPolice

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal52%
GicumbiPolice
43%2 goals0%
GicumbiPolice
22%3 goals0%
GicumbiPolice
9%4 goals0%
GicumbiPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

39%BTTS at half-time4%
GicumbiPolice
13%BTTS in both halves0%
GicumbiPolice
17%Scored in both halves17%
GicumbiPolice

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
GicumbiPolice
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
GicumbiPolice
80%BTTS - last 520%
GicumbiPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
GicumbiPolice
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time9%
GicumbiPolice
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
GicumbiPolice

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
GicumbiPolice
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
GicumbiPolice
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
GicumbiPolice

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / game - Gicumbi · 1.65 pts / game - Police

Gicumbi - half-time state
22% leading48% draw30% trailing
Police - half-time state
35% leading61% draw4% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per game (1st half)1.65
GicumbiPolice
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.43
GicumbiPolice
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.09
GicumbiPolice
1.48Average goals (1st half)0.52
GicumbiPolice
35%Clean sheet before half-time91%
GicumbiPolice
43%No goal before half-time61%
GicumbiPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per game (2nd half)1.13
GicumbiPolice
0.48Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
GicumbiPolice
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
GicumbiPolice
1.3Average goals (2nd half)0.83
GicumbiPolice
35%Clean sheet after half-time57%
GicumbiPolice
65%No goal after half-time65%
GicumbiPolice

Gicumbi - second-half results

13% W48% R39% P
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Police - second-half results

22% W48% R30% P
38
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Gicumbi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Police - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.20.8
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
5
16-30
5
7
31-45
2
5
46-60
6
6
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Police
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
168%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

GicumbiLigaPolice
Average goals per game 2.782.09 1.35
Both teams scored 65%46% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%35% 17%
Clean sheets 13%33% 48%
Goal before half-time 83%62% 43%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.11
Home goals / game
0.98
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Gicumbi's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Police. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Gicumbi vs Police?

The National Soccer League match finished Gicumbi 1:2 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gicumbi vs Police?

Gicumbi score 1.13 goals per game on average and Police 0.83. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Gicumbi's matches and 30% of Police's.

What form are Gicumbi and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Gicumbi have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Police 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gicumbi vs Police?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.