Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueMoi International Sports CentreData current as of October 25, 2026

Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Gor Mahia plays Nairobi United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Moi International Sports Centre.

Recent form

Gor Mahia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Nairobi United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Gor Mahia scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.67. Nairobi United scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.90 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Gor Mahia's games and 50% of Nairobi United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Gor Mahia has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.44 per game. Gor Mahia takes 13.7 shots per game, while Nairobi United takes 10.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.67 goals per game after halftime. Nairobi United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Gor Mahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Nairobi United, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 1.90 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Gor MahiaNairobi United
2Goals scored / game1
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0.67Goals allowed / game1
Gor MahiaNairobi United
54%Average possession52%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
4.33Shots on target / game2.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.67Shots per game10
Gor MahiaNairobi United
4.33Shots on target2.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United
14.6%Shot conversion10%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
54%Possession52%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
1.73xG for1.44
Gor MahiaNairobi United
1.35xG against1.26
Gor MahiaNairobi United

Shooting quality

Gor Mahia: Efficient finishingNairobi United: Balanced
Gor MahiaNairobi United
Accuracy (shots on target)32%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gor Mahia is 200% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 1 pts / game - Nairobi United

Gor Mahia
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%
Nairobi United
DD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gor Mahia is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 1 goals / game - Nairobi United

Gor Mahia is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 1 goals / game - Nairobi United

Gor Mahia scoring profile: very strong

Gor Mahia scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Nairobi United scoring profile: more difficult

Nairobi United scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).

6Goals scored (season)2
Gor MahiaNairobi United
2Goals conceded (season)2
Gor MahiaNairobi United
2.67Average goals per game2
Gor MahiaNairobi United
6Goals scored (last 5)2
Gor MahiaNairobi United
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
Gor MahiaNairobi United

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%2 goals50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%3 goals0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%4 goals0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%2 goals50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%3 goals0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%4 goals0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%Scored in both halves50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%BTTS - last 550%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nairobi United is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 2 pts / game - Nairobi United

Gor Mahia - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Nairobi United - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)2
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0.33Average goals (1st half)0.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
67%No goal before half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per game (2nd half)0.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United
1.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Gor MahiaNairobi United
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Gor MahiaNairobi United
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United
0%No goal after half-time50%
Gor MahiaNairobi United

Gor Mahia - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding303%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nairobi United - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Gor Mahia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.673.00
Goals scored / game0.31.7
Goals allowed / game0.00.7
Average goals per game0.32.3
1 goal33%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet100%67%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Nairobi United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.50
Goals scored / game0.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.51.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Gor Mahia
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Nairobi United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Gor Mahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Nairobi United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Gor MahiaLigaNairobi United
Average goals per game▲ 2.671.90▲ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 33%43%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 33%29%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 67%40%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%38%▲ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Gor Mahia's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Nairobi United. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Gor Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
Nairobi United
1 : 1
Gor Mahia
Nairobi United
1 : 1
Gor Mahia

FAQ

When do Gor Mahia and Nairobi United play?

Gor Mahia face Nairobi United on November 7, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Moi International Sports Centre. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gor Mahia and Nairobi United?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 0, Nairobi United won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?

Gor Mahia score 2.00 goals per game on average and Nairobi United 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gor Mahia's matches and 50% of Nairobi United's.

What form are Gor Mahia and Nairobi United in?

Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Nairobi United 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.