Scotland - ChampionshipCappielow ParkData current as of October 22, 2026

Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Greenock Morton plays Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Cappielow Park.

Recent form

Greenock Morton has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ayr United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Greenock Morton scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.64. Ayr United scores 0.91 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.02 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Greenock Morton's games and 45% of Ayr United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 18%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ayr United has the higher season xG average, 0.98 to 0.93 per game. Greenock Morton takes 6.5 shots per game, while Ayr United takes 7.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Greenock Morton leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Ayr United leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.27 after halftime.

When the teams score

Greenock Morton's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Ayr United, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.02 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.10)
(3.24)
(2.05)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Greenock MortonAyr United
0.82Goals scored / game0.91
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.64Goals allowed / game1.09
Greenock MortonAyr United
46%Average possession42%
Greenock MortonAyr United
3.09Shots on target / game2.82
Greenock MortonAyr United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.55Shots per game7.09
Greenock MortonAyr United
3.09Shots on target2.82
Greenock MortonAyr United
12.5%Shot conversion12.8%
Greenock MortonAyr United
46%Possession42%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.93xG for0.98
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.42xG against1.46
Greenock MortonAyr United

Shooting quality

Greenock Morton: Counter-attackingAyr United: Counter-attacking
Greenock MortonAyr United
Accuracy (shots on target)47%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ayr United is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Greenock Morton · 1.4 pts / game - Ayr United

Greenock Morton
LLLWW
Season result split
18% W9% D73% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-8
0.64 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-5
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Ayr United
WLWDL
Season result split
27% W27% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-5
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ayr United is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

0.82 goals / game - Greenock Morton · 0.91 goals / game - Ayr United

Ayr United is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.64 goals / game - Greenock Morton · 1.09 goals / game - Ayr United

Greenock Morton scoring profile: very strong

Greenock Morton scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

Ayr United scoring profile: very strong

Ayr United scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

9Goals scored (season)10
Greenock MortonAyr United
18Goals conceded (season)12
Greenock MortonAyr United
2.45Average goals per game2
Greenock MortonAyr United
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Greenock MortonAyr United
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Greenock MortonAyr United

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal64%
Greenock MortonAyr United
18%2 goals27%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0%3 goals0%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0%4 goals0%
Greenock MortonAyr United

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal82%
Greenock MortonAyr United
55%2 goals18%
Greenock MortonAyr United
9%3 goals9%
Greenock MortonAyr United
9%4 goals0%
Greenock MortonAyr United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time27%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Greenock MortonAyr United
9%Scored in both halves18%
Greenock MortonAyr United

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Greenock MortonAyr United
40%BTTS - last 540%
Greenock MortonAyr United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
Greenock MortonAyr United
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Greenock MortonAyr United

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time45%
Greenock MortonAyr United
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time9%
Greenock MortonAyr United
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Greenock MortonAyr United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / game - Greenock Morton · 1.27 pts / game - Ayr United

Greenock Morton - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing
Ayr United - half-time state
36% leading18% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per game (1st half)1.27
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Greenock MortonAyr United
1Average goals (1st half)1.45
Greenock MortonAyr United
45%Clean sheet before half-time36%
Greenock MortonAyr United
73%No goal before half-time45%
Greenock MortonAyr United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per game (2nd half)1.18
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.27
Greenock MortonAyr United
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.27
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.45Average goals (2nd half)0.55
Greenock MortonAyr United
18%Clean sheet after half-time73%
Greenock MortonAyr United
55%No goal after half-time73%
Greenock MortonAyr United

Greenock Morton - second-half results

9% W36% D55% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ayr United - second-half results

18% W64% D18% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Greenock Morton - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ayr United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Greenock Morton
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Greenock Morton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
193%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Greenock MortonLigaAyr United
Average goals per game▲ 2.452.02• 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 55%39%▲ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 45%28%▼ 18%
Clean sheets▼ 9%35%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%70%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%61%▼ 45%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per game
39%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.17
Home goals / game
0.85
Away goals / game
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Greenock Morton's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss against Ayr United. Games average 2.40 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.

Ayr United
1 : 1
Greenock Morton
Ayr United FC
0 : 1
Greenock Morton FC
Greenock Morton FC
1 : 1
Ayr United FC
Ayr United FC
2 : 1
Greenock Morton FC
Greenock Morton FC
2 : 2
Ayr United FC

FAQ

When do Greenock Morton and Ayr United play?

Greenock Morton face Ayr United on October 24, 2026 in Championship at Cappielow Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Ayr United?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock Morton won 1, Ayr United won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Greenock Morton score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ayr United 0.91. The Championship average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Greenock Morton's matches and 45% of Ayr United's.

What form are Greenock Morton and Ayr United in?

Over the last 5 games Greenock Morton have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ayr United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

The statistical background for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.