China - China League OneData current as of October 15, 2026

Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai: match statistics

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Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Guangxi Hengchen plays Changchun Yatai in China League One (China). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026.

Recent form

Guangxi Hengchen has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Changchun Yatai has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 1.08. Changchun Yatai scores 1.50 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Guangxi Hengchen's games and 69% of Changchun Yatai's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 69%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Guangxi Hengchen has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.22 per game. Guangxi Hengchen takes 15.0 shots per game, while Changchun Yatai takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Guangxi Hengchen leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Changchun Yatai leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Guangxi Hengchen's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Changchun Yatai, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

China League One games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
1.58Goals scored / game1.5
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
1.08Goals allowed / game1.62
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
59%Average possession49%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
5.31Shots on target / game3.62
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.04Shots per game9.62
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
5.31Shots on target3.62
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
10.5%Shot conversion15.6%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
59%Possession49%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
1.78xG for1.22
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
1.1xG against1.41
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

Shooting quality

Guangxi Hengchen: DominantChangchun Yatai: Efficient finishing
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
Accuracy (shots on target)35%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Guangxi Hengchen is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.2 pts / game - Changchun Yatai

Guangxi Hengchen
WWWLD
Season result split
50% W27% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-6
1.77 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Changchun Yatai
WDLDD
Season result split
38% W19% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-11
1.35 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Guangxi Hengchen is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

1.58 goals / game - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.5 goals / game - Changchun Yatai

Guangxi Hengchen is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.08 goals / game - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.62 goals / game - Changchun Yatai

Guangxi Hengchen scoring profile: very strong

Guangxi Hengchen scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 games).

Changchun Yatai scoring profile: very strong

Changchun Yatai scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 games), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 games).

41Goals scored (season)39
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
28Goals conceded (season)42
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
2.65Average goals per game3.12
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal85%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
42%2 goals38%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
27%3 goals15%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
8%4 goals4%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal85%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
27%2 goals50%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
12%3 goals15%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
4%4 goals8%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time35%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
12%BTTS in both halves8%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
31%Scored in both halves23%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
40%BTTS - last 560%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time54%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Guangxi Hengchen is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.08 pts / game - Changchun Yatai

Guangxi Hengchen - half-time state
35% leading46% draw19% trailing
Changchun Yatai - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.08
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.85
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.58
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
65%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
58%No goal before half-time54%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per game (2nd half)1.38
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.54
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
54%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
31%No goal after half-time38%
Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai

Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results

46% W27% D27% L
39
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Changchun Yatai - second-half results

38% W23% D38% L
28
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Guangxi Hengchen - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.40
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Changchun Yatai - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Guangxi Hengchen
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
7
3
31-45
7
7
46-60
11
3
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Changchun Yatai
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
4
6
16-30
10
5
31-45
8
6
46-60
6
8
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Guangxi Hengchen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Changchun Yatai

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).

Teams vs league

Guangxi HengchenLigaChangchun Yatai
Average goals per game• 2.652.65▲ 3.12
Both teams scored▼ 50%55%▲ 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 46%51%▲ 69%
Clean sheets▲ 35%27%▼ 15%
Goal before half-time▼ 62%69%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%74%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Guangxi Hengchen's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Changchun Yatai. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Guangxi Hengchen and Changchun Yatai play?

Guangxi Hengchen face Changchun Yatai on October 17, 2026 in China League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai?

Guangxi Hengchen score 1.58 goals per game on average and Changchun Yatai 1.50. The China League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Guangxi Hengchen's matches and 69% of Changchun Yatai's.

What form are Guangxi Hengchen and Changchun Yatai in?

Over the last 5 games Guangxi Hengchen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Changchun Yatai 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai?

The statistical background for Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.