Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
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Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Guaraní plays Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres.
Recent form
Guaraní has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Nacional Asunción has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Guaraní scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 0.97. Nacional Asunción scores 1.44 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Guaraní's games and 56% of Nacional Asunción's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 39%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional Asunción has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.31 per game. Guaraní takes 11.6 shots per game, while Nacional Asunción takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Guaraní leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Guaraní's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Nacional Asunción, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional Asunción is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Guaraní · 2.2 pts / game - Nacional Asunción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Guaraní · 1.44 goals / game - Nacional Asunción
Nacional Asunción is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Guaraní · 0.83 goals / game - Nacional Asunción
Guaraní scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 games), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 games).
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of games (31 of 36 games), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Asunción is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Guaraní · 1.47 pts / game - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Guaraní
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.17 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Guaraní's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Nacional Asunción. Games average 1.71 goals, and both teams scored in 43% of them.
FAQ
When do Guaraní and Nacional Asunción play?
Guaraní face Nacional Asunción on October 17, 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3, Nacional Asunción won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción?
Guaraní score 1.19 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.44. The Division Profesional average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Guaraní's matches and 56% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Guaraní and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción?
The statistical background for Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.