Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Hamilton Academical displays a significantly better disposition in home fixtures, achieving a 53% win rate and a positive goal difference (+8). The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals while conceding only 0.8 goals per home match, indicating solid defensive organization. Conversely, Kelty Hearts have very poor away form - just 20% wins, a high 60% loss rate, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.8 goals on the road. The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts - Hamilton averages 1 point per match in their last 5 games, while Kelty Hearts average only 0.6 points. Higher xG values for the hosts (1.28 vs 0.96 for the visitors) and the significant advantage of Hamilton's home strength over Kelty Hearts' away weakness point to a clear favorite in this encounter.
Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamilton Academical play Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Hamilton Academical: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamilton Academical scores 1.47 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 0.89 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamilton Academical 42%, Kelty Hearts 53%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 58%, Kelty Hearts 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.01. Hamilton Academical: 9.7 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 7.5.
Match halves
Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Hamilton Academical: 46-60 (10 goals). Kelty Hearts: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Hamilton Academical displays a significantly better disposition in home fixtures, achieving a 53% win rate and a positive goal difference (+8). The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals while conceding only 0.8 goals per home match, indicating solid defensive organization. Conversely, Kelty Hearts have very poor away form - just 20% wins, a high 60% loss rate, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.8 goals on the road. The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts - Hamilton averages 1 point per match in their last 5 games, while Kelty Hearts average only 0.6 points. Higher xG values for the hosts (1.28 vs 0.96 for the visitors) and the significant advantage of Hamilton's home strength over Kelty Hearts' away weakness point to a clear favorite in this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.89 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Hamilton Academical is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.72 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Hamilton Academical scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hamilton Academical
Over / Under — Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.97 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamilton Academical
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.62 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hamilton Academical 2 - 1 - 0 Kelty Hearts. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 1:2 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 2, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts?
Hamilton Academical score 1.47 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.89. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 53% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.