Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: match statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harju Jalgpallikool play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Vaprus 65%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 70%, Vaprus 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.14. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3 shots per match, Vaprus: 8.4.
Match halves
Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Harju Jalgpallikool has the advantage in chance creation — at home they average 9 shots and 4.4 on target per match, translating to 1.2 goals per game, while Vaprus away averages 6 shots and 2.5 on target with an output of 1.0 goal. The difference in chance quality is confirmed by xG: Harju has 1.25 xG at home versus 0.86 xG for Vaprus on the road, and at the same time the hosts concede 1.4 goals at home on average, while the visitors concede 2.33 away, giving Harju a defensive edge in the season head-to-head comparison. However, the short-term trend favors Vaprus — in the last 5 matches Harju scored 5 and conceded 11 goals, whereas Vaprus scored 7 and conceded 6, and the visitors have a higher points return in the last 5: 1.8 pts versus the hosts’ 1.4 pts. Additionally, Harju keep 40% clean sheets at home versus 17% for the visitors away, but Vaprus’ shot conversion is higher (17% vs 13%), so despite fewer shots the visitors can be dangerous. Considering Harju’s greater volume of chances and better xG alongside Vaprus’ weaker defensive numbers on the road, I back the home win; I assess the probabilities at 55% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 20% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.4 goals / match - Vaprus
Harju Jalgpallikool is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.9 goals / match - Vaprus
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Harju Jalgpallikool
Over / Under — Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harju Jalgpallikool
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Harju Jalgpallikool 1 - 2 - 2 Vaprus. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 1:2 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 1, Vaprus won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?
Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.50 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.40. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 65% of Vaprus's.
What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vaprus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.