Estonia - MeistriliigaLaagri kunstmuruData current as of October 15, 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Harju Jalgpallikool plays Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru.

Recent form

Harju Jalgpallikool has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Vaprus has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.48. Vaprus scores 1.35 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Harju Jalgpallikool's games and 68% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 68%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Harju Jalgpallikool has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.25 per game. Harju Jalgpallikool takes 12.1 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 9.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Harju Jalgpallikool leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Harju Jalgpallikool's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.11)
(3.75)
(2.88)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.42Goals scored / game1.35
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.48Goals allowed / game2
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%Average possession46%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
4.23Shots on target / game3.77
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.13Shots per game9.65
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
4.23Shots on target3.77
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
11.7%Shot conversion14%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%Possession46%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.55xG for1.25
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.87xG against1.99
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: BalancedVaprus: Counter-attacking
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 550% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.4 pts / game - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
45% W6% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-15
1.42 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Vaprus
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
29% W19% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-16
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-10
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

1.42 goals / game - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.35 goals / game - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.48 goals / game - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2 goals / game - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 games).

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 games), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 games).

44Goals scored (season)42
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
46Goals conceded (season)62
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
2.9Average goals per game3.35
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3Goals conceded (last 5)13
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal81%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%2 goals39%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
13%3 goals10%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3%4 goals3%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal81%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%2 goals65%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
23%3 goals29%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3%4 goals10%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 31 games
57%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time32%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
23%Scored in both halves29%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
40%BTTS - last 560%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.19 pts / game - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
29% leading42% draw29% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)1.19
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.52
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
52%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
52%No goal before half-time45%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per game (2nd half)1.1
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.84
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
42%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
52%No goal after half-time45%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

29% W32% D39% L
40
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W23% D48% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
9
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
8
8
16-30
8
9
31-45
9
13
46-60
7
11
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaVaprus
Average goals per game▼ 2.903.10▲ 3.35
Both teams scored▼ 48%57%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 61%64%▲ 68%
Clean sheets▲ 29%23%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▼ 74%76%▼ 74%
Goal after half-time▼ 84%88%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Harju Jalgpallikool's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against Vaprus. Games average 2.86 goals, and both teams scored in 71% of them.

Vaprus
2 : 3
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Vaprus
Vaprus
0 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

When do Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus play?

Harju Jalgpallikool face Vaprus on October 18, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Laagri kunstmuru. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 2, Vaprus won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.42 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.35. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 68% of Vaprus's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Vaprus 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.