Scotland - PremiershipTynecastle ParkData current as of October 26, 2026

Hearts vs Rangers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hearts vs Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hearts plays Rangers in Premiership (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Venue: Tynecastle Park.

Recent form

Hearts has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Rangers has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Hearts scores 2.20 goals per game and allows 1.50. Rangers scores 1.70 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 70% of Hearts's games and 50% of Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Rangers has the higher season xG average, 2.22 to 1.75 per game. Hearts takes 16.1 shots per game, while Rangers takes 20.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Hearts leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Rangers leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Rangers, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.13)
(3.58)
(2.12)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.2Goals scored / game1.7
HeartsRangers
1.5Goals allowed / game0.7
HeartsRangers
53%Average possession56%
HeartsRangers
5.3Shots on target / game6.9
HeartsRangers

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.1Shots per game20.3
HeartsRangers
5.3Shots on target6.9
HeartsRangers
13.7%Shot conversion8.4%
HeartsRangers
53%Possession56%
HeartsRangers
1.75xG for2.22
HeartsRangers
1.21xG against1.08
HeartsRangers

Shooting quality

Hearts: AttackingRangers: Dominant
HeartsRangers
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Rangers is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Hearts · 2.6 pts / game - Rangers

Hearts
LDWLW
Season result split
60% W10% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-3
1.90 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Rangers
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
70% W20% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-1
2.30 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

2.2 goals / game - Hearts · 1.7 goals / game - Rangers

Rangers is 114% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Hearts · 0.7 goals / game - Rangers

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 games).

Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Rangers scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

22Goals scored (season)17
HeartsRangers
15Goals conceded (season)7
HeartsRangers
3.7Average goals per game2.4
HeartsRangers
10Goals scored (last 5)11
HeartsRangers
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
HeartsRangers

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
HeartsRangers
60%2 goals40%
HeartsRangers
30%3 goals20%
HeartsRangers
20%4 goals10%
HeartsRangers

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal50%
HeartsRangers
30%2 goals20%
HeartsRangers
10%3 goals0%
HeartsRangers
10%4 goals0%
HeartsRangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
HeartsRangers
0%BTTS in both halves10%
HeartsRangers
40%Scored in both halves30%
HeartsRangers

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
HeartsRangers
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
HeartsRangers
60%BTTS - last 540%
HeartsRangers

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
HeartsRangers
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HeartsRangers
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
HeartsRangers

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
HeartsRangers
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
HeartsRangers
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
HeartsRangers

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.9 pts / game - Hearts · 1.6 pts / game - Rangers

Hearts - half-time state
60% leading10% draw30% trailing
Rangers - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.9Points per game (1st half)1.6
HeartsRangers
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.8
HeartsRangers
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
HeartsRangers
2Average goals (1st half)1.2
HeartsRangers
60%Clean sheet before half-time60%
HeartsRangers
20%No goal before half-time40%
HeartsRangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)1.9
HeartsRangers
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
HeartsRangers
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.3
HeartsRangers
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.2
HeartsRangers
50%Clean sheet after half-time70%
HeartsRangers
40%No goal after half-time30%
HeartsRangers

Hearts - second-half results

50% W10% D40% L
19
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Rangers - second-half results

50% W40% D10% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.80
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.40.6
Average goals per game2.41.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Rangers
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HeartsLigaRangers
Average goals per game▲ 3.702.82▼ 2.40
Both teams scored▲ 70%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%58%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 30%24%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%77%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Hearts's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rangers. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

FAQ

When do Hearts and Rangers play?

Hearts face Rangers on October 28, 2026 in Premiership at Tynecastle Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Rangers?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hearts won 3, Rangers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Rangers?

Hearts score 2.20 goals per game on average and Rangers 1.70. The Premiership average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Hearts's matches and 50% of Rangers's.

What form are Hearts and Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rangers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Rangers?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.