China - China League OneChangzhou Olympic Sports CenterData current as of October 21, 2026

Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Heilongjiang Lava Spring plays Yanbian Longding in China League One (China). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Changzhou Olympic Sports Center.

Recent form

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Yanbian Longding has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.81. Yanbian Longding scores 1.44 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 78% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's games and 52% of Yanbian Longding's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 48%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.22 per game. Heilongjiang Lava Spring takes 11.1 shots per game, while Yanbian Longding takes 10.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Heilongjiang Lava Spring leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Yanbian Longding leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.74 after halftime.

When the teams score

Heilongjiang Lava Spring's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Yanbian Longding, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

China League One games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.41Goals scored / game1.44
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.81Goals allowed / game1.07
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
49%Average possession53%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
4.07Shots on target / game3.89
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.11Shots per game10.52
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
4.07Shots on target3.89
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
12.7%Shot conversion13.7%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
49%Possession53%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.33xG for1.22
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.64xG against1.24
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

Shooting quality

Heilongjiang Lava Spring: BalancedYanbian Longding: Efficient finishing
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 0.8 pts / game - Yanbian Longding

Heilongjiang Lava Spring
LDDLW
Season result split
19% W44% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-12-10
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-6-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Yanbian Longding
LLDLW
Season result split
37% W33% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-8
1.44 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Yanbian Longding is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.81 goals / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 1.07 goals / game - Yanbian Longding

Heilongjiang Lava Spring scoring profile: very strong

Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 games), while Yanbian Longding keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).

Yanbian Longding scoring profile: very strong

Yanbian Longding scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 games), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 games).

38Goals scored (season)39
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
49Goals conceded (season)29
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
3.22Average goals per game2.52
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal67%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
37%2 goals41%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
15%3 goals26%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
4%4 goals7%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal70%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
44%2 goals30%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
33%3 goals7%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
11%4 goals0%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

78%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 27 games
54%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time22%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
15%BTTS in both halves7%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
22%Scored in both halves30%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
40%BTTS - last 560%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Yanbian Longding is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 1.37 pts / game - Yanbian Longding

Heilongjiang Lava Spring - half-time state
30% leading41% draw30% trailing
Yanbian Longding - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per game (1st half)1.37
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.7
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.22
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
48%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
48%No goal before half-time48%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

After half-time (2nd half)

0.96Points per game (2nd half)1.37
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
1.78Average goals (2nd half)1.3
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
30%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
44%No goal after half-time56%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

Heilongjiang Lava Spring - second-half results

22% W30% D48% L
35
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding63%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Yanbian Longding - second-half results

33% W37% D30% L
37
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Yanbian Longding - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
8
7
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
10
46-60
9
9
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Yanbian Longding
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
7
2
16-30
4
8
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Yanbian Longding

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).

Teams vs league

Heilongjiang Lava SpringLigaYanbian Longding
Average goals per game▲ 3.222.65▼ 2.52
Both teams scored▲ 78%54%▼ 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%50%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 11%27%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 74%69%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Heilongjiang Lava Spring's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Yanbian Longding. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Yanbian Longding
3 : 0
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Heilongjiang Lava Spring FC
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding FC
Yanbian Longding FC
3 : 0
Heilongjiang Lava Spring FC

FAQ

When do Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding play?

Heilongjiang Lava Spring face Yanbian Longding on October 25, 2026 in China League One at Changzhou Olympic Sports Center. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Lava Spring won 1, Yanbian Longding won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?

Heilongjiang Lava Spring score 1.41 goals per game on average and Yanbian Longding 1.44. The China League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's matches and 52% of Yanbian Longding's.

What form are Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding in?

Over the last 5 games Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Yanbian Longding 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.