Denmark - 1st DivisionHillerød StadionData current as of October 20, 2026

Hillerød vs AaB: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hillerød vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hillerød plays AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Hillerød Stadion.

Recent form

Hillerød has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. AaB has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Hillerød scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.55. AaB scores 1.27 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Hillerød's games and 55% of AaB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 55%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AaB has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.37 per game. Hillerød takes 12.3 shots per game, while AaB takes 13.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Hillerød leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. AaB leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.55 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hillerød's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For AaB, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.88)
(3.50)
(2.23)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.18Goals scored / game1.27
HillerødAaB
1.55Goals allowed / game1.36
HillerødAaB
48%Average possession55%
HillerødAaB
4.36Shots on target / game4.18
HillerødAaB

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.27Shots per game13.91
HillerødAaB
4.36Shots on target4.18
HillerødAaB
9.6%Shot conversion9.2%
HillerødAaB
48%Possession55%
HillerødAaB
1.37xG for1.51
HillerødAaB
1.95xG against1.48
HillerødAaB

Shooting quality

Hillerød: BalancedAaB: Balanced
HillerødAaB
Accuracy (shots on target)36%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AaB is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Hillerød · 1.2 pts / game - AaB

Hillerød
DWDLL
Season result split
18% W27% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-6
0.82 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
AaB
WDDDL
Season result split
27% W45% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-3
1.27 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AaB is 8% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Hillerød · 1.27 goals / game - AaB

AaB is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.55 goals / game - Hillerød · 1.36 goals / game - AaB

Hillerød scoring profile: strong

Hillerød scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

AaB scoring profile: very strong

AaB scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

13Goals scored (season)14
HillerødAaB
17Goals conceded (season)15
HillerødAaB
2.73Average goals per game2.64
HillerødAaB
3Goals scored (last 5)9
HillerødAaB
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
HillerødAaB

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal73%
HillerødAaB
27%2 goals45%
HillerødAaB
18%3 goals9%
HillerødAaB
9%4 goals0%
HillerødAaB

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal73%
HillerødAaB
27%2 goals45%
HillerødAaB
18%3 goals18%
HillerødAaB
9%4 goals0%
HillerødAaB

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
HillerødAaB
9%BTTS in both halves9%
HillerødAaB
18%Scored in both halves36%
HillerødAaB

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
HillerødAaB
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
HillerødAaB
40%BTTS - last 560%
HillerødAaB

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
HillerødAaB
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
HillerødAaB
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
HillerødAaB

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
HillerødAaB
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
HillerødAaB
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
HillerødAaB

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AaB is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / game - Hillerød · 1.73 pts / game - AaB

Hillerød - half-time state
45% leading9% draw45% trailing
AaB - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per game (1st half)1.73
HillerødAaB
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.73
HillerødAaB
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
HillerødAaB
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.18
HillerødAaB
45%Clean sheet before half-time64%
HillerødAaB
55%No goal before half-time45%
HillerødAaB

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1
HillerødAaB
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
HillerødAaB
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
HillerødAaB
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.45
HillerødAaB
45%Clean sheet after half-time36%
HillerødAaB
64%No goal after half-time45%
HillerødAaB

Hillerød - second-half results

18% W45% D36% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding40%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AaB - second-half results

18% W45% D36% L
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hillerød - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.60
Goals scored / game0.60.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.20.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
AaB - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hillerød
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

AaB
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hillerød

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

AaB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HillerødLigaAaB
Average goals per game• 2.732.73• 2.64
Both teams scored▼ 55%59%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 27%53%▲ 55%
Clean sheets▼ 9%26%• 27%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%76%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%73%▲ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Hillerød's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against AaB. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

When do Hillerød and AaB play?

Hillerød face AaB on October 24, 2026 in 1st Division at Hillerød Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and AaB?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 0, AaB won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs AaB?

Hillerød score 1.18 goals per game on average and AaB 1.27. The 1st Division average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Hillerød's matches and 55% of AaB's.

What form are Hillerød and AaB in?

Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AaB 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs AaB?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.