Germany - 2. BundesligaHolstein-StadionData current as of October 21, 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Holstein Kiel plays Dynamo Dresden in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Holstein-Stadion.

Recent form

Holstein Kiel has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Dynamo Dresden has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Holstein Kiel scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.38. Dynamo Dresden scores 1.38 and allows 1.88. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Holstein Kiel's games and 63% of Dynamo Dresden's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 63%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Holstein Kiel has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.40 per game. Holstein Kiel takes 13.3 shots per game, while Dynamo Dresden takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Dynamo Dresden leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Holstein Kiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Dynamo Dresden, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

2. Bundesliga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.19)
(3.80)
(2.90)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.88Goals scored / game1.38
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.38Goals allowed / game1.88
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
55%Average possession53%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
3.25Shots on target / game4.38
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.25Shots per game12.25
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
3.25Shots on target4.38
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6.6%Shot conversion11.2%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
55%Possession53%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.41xG for1.4
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.5xG against1.77
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Shooting quality

Holstein Kiel: BalancedDynamo Dresden: Balanced
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
Accuracy (shots on target)25%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Dynamo Dresden is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1 pts / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W63% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-5-3
0.63 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-4-0
Last 5 at home
0-4-0
DDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Dynamo Dresden
LDLDW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dynamo Dresden is 57% better for: goals scored per game.

0.88 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.38 goals / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.88 goals / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel scoring profile: strong

Holstein Kiel scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Dynamo Dresden keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Dynamo Dresden scoring profile: very strong

Dynamo Dresden scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

7Goals scored (season)11
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
11Goals conceded (season)15
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
2.25Average goals per game3.25
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
3Goals scored (last 5)7
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal88%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%2 goals38%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%3 goals13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%4 goals0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal75%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%2 goals63%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%3 goals25%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%4 goals13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time38%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%BTTS in both halves13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%Scored in both halves38%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
40%BTTS - last 580%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dynamo Dresden is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.75 pts / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Dynamo Dresden - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1Average goals (1st half)1.63
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
63%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
63%No goal before half-time13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per game (2nd half)0.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
75%No goal after half-time63%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Dynamo Dresden - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Holstein Kiel - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Dynamo Dresden - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Holstein Kiel
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Dynamo Dresden
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Holstein Kiel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Dynamo Dresden

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Holstein KielLigaDynamo Dresden
Average goals per game▼ 2.253.11▲ 3.25
Both teams scored▼ 50%58%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%58%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▼ 13%24%• 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%78%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%82%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Holstein Kiel's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dynamo Dresden. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden play?

Holstein Kiel face Dynamo Dresden on October 25, 2026 in 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 1, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Holstein Kiel score 0.88 goals per game on average and Dynamo Dresden 1.38. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 63% of Dynamo Dresden's.

What form are Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden in?

Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Dynamo Dresden 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.