Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of 23 July 2026

Ilves vs Lahti: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ilves vs Lahti: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ilves play Lahti in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 14:00.

Current form

Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lahti: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ilves scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Lahti scores 1.25 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ilves 69%, Lahti 44%. Over 2.5: Ilves 75%, Lahti 31%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Ilves has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.43. Ilves: 11.8 shots per match, Lahti: 12.5.

Match halves

Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88. Lahti: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). Lahti: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.18)
(3.72)
(2.72)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.75Goals scored / match1.25
IlvesLahti
1.88Goals conceded / match0.94
IlvesLahti
49%Average possession55%
IlvesLahti
4.94Shots on target / match4.31
IlvesLahti

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.75Shots per match12.5
IlvesLahti
4.94Shots on target4.31
IlvesLahti
14.9%Shot conversion10%
IlvesLahti
49%Possession55%
IlvesLahti
1.44xG for1.43
IlvesLahti
1.63xG against1.21
IlvesLahti

Shooting quality

Ilves: Efficient finishingLahti: Balanced
IlvesLahti
Accuracy (shots on target)42%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lahti is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Ilves · 2.2 pts / match - Lahti

Ilves
WLDLW
Season result split
31% W25% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-7
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.14Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Lahti
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ilves is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.75 goals / match - Ilves · 1.25 goals / match - Lahti

Lahti is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.88 goals / match - Ilves · 0.94 goals / match - Lahti

Ilves scoring profile: very strong

Ilves scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Lahti scoring profile: very strong

Lahti scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

28Goals scored (season)20
IlvesLahti
30Goals conceded (season)15
IlvesLahti
3.63Average goals in match2.19
IlvesLahti
14Goals scored (last 5)6
IlvesLahti
9Goals conceded (last 5)1
IlvesLahti

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal75%
IlvesLahti
50%2 goals31%
IlvesLahti
19%3 goals6%
IlvesLahti
6%4 goals6%
IlvesLahti

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal63%
IlvesLahti
63%2 goals25%
IlvesLahti
31%3 goals6%
IlvesLahti
13%4 goals0%
IlvesLahti

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time19%
IlvesLahti
13%BTTS in both halves6%
IlvesLahti
38%Scored in both halves25%
IlvesLahti

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
IlvesLahti
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
IlvesLahti
80%BTTS - last 520%
IlvesLahti

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
IlvesLahti
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
IlvesLahti
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
IlvesLahti

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
IlvesLahti
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
IlvesLahti
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
IlvesLahti

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lahti is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Ilves · 1.56 pts / match - Lahti

Ilves - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Lahti - half-time state
38% leading44% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.56
IlvesLahti
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.75
IlvesLahti
1.19Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
IlvesLahti
2.06Average goals (1st half)1.13
IlvesLahti
44%Clean sheet before half-time69%
IlvesLahti
38%No goal before half-time44%
IlvesLahti

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)1.19
IlvesLahti
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
IlvesLahti
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
IlvesLahti
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.06
IlvesLahti
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
IlvesLahti
31%No goal after half-time56%
IlvesLahti

Ilves - second-half results

44% W31% R25% P
22
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lahti - second-half results

25% W44% R31% P
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ilves - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match1.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match2.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Lahti - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ilves
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Lahti
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ilves

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Lahti

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

IlvesLigaLahti
Average goals in match 3.632.67 2.19
Both teams scored 69%51% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%47% 31%
Clean sheets 25%28% 38%
Goal before half-time 88%75% 69%
Goal after half-time 94%78% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ilves 0 - 0 - 1 Lahti. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Ilves and Lahti play?

Ilves face Lahti on 26 July 2026 in Veikkausliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs Lahti?

Ilves score 1.75 goals per game on average and Lahti 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Ilves's matches and 44% of Lahti's.

What form are Ilves and Lahti in?

Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lahti 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs Lahti?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs Lahti: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.