Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Miami plays FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026.
Recent form
Inter Miami has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. FC Cincinnati has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Miami scores 2.35 goals per game and allows 1.71. FC Cincinnati scores 2.06 and allows 2.29. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Inter Miami's games and 74% of FC Cincinnati's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 71%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
FC Cincinnati has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.68 per game. Inter Miami takes 14.9 shots per game, while FC Cincinnati takes 14.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Miami leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. FC Cincinnati leads at halftime in 23% and scores 1.19 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Miami's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). For FC Cincinnati, it is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 8.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Miami | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
2.35 goals / game - Inter Miami · 2.06 goals / game - FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Inter Miami · 2.29 goals / game - FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 games), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 games).
FC Cincinnati scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 games), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Miami
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / game - Inter Miami · 1.06 pts / game - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Inter Miami | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.06 | 3.24 | ▲ 4.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Inter Miami's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against FC Cincinnati. Games average 8.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
When do Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati play?
Inter Miami face FC Cincinnati on October 28, 2026 in MLS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?
Inter Miami score 2.35 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.06. The MLS average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Inter Miami's matches and 74% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.