Inter vs Municipal Limeño: match statistics
Inter vs Municipal Limeño: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter played against Municipal Limeño in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Inter has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Municipal Limeño has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 1.39. Municipal Limeño scores 1.36 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 51% of Inter's games and 52% of Municipal Limeño's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 43%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Municipal Limeño has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.23 per game. Inter takes 7.6 shots per game, while Municipal Limeño takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Municipal Limeño leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Municipal Limeño, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter scores on average 1.19 goals per home game with xG 1.19, while Municipal scores 1.14 on the road with xG 1.29, indicating similar offensive efficiency despite the visitors’ higher xG (1.29 vs 1.19). Inter’s key advantage is defense: the hosts concede 1.14 goals per home match and allow only 1.00 xG, whereas Municipal concedes 1.36 on the road with xG against 1.53, meaning the visitors are more exposed to high-quality opponent chances. Shot stats show Municipal attempts more shots (8.5 vs 7.43) and has a similar number of shots on target (3.5 vs 3.48), but Inter’s home conversion rate is 16% versus 13% for the visitors, which favors the hosts in chance finishing. Form over the last 5 matches is comparable (Inter 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per game; Municipal 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game), however Municipal loses 50% of away matches while Inter has only 29% home defeats and a positive home goal difference (GD +1). Considering Inter’s superior defensive organization at home, higher conversion rate and lower xG against, I favor the home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and match-statistics analysis indicates a BTTS edge: xG for Inter is 1.58 vs 1.29 for Municipal Limeño, with xG against at 1.45 (Inter) and 1.53 (Municipal Limeño), yielding averaged expected goals of ~1.56 for Inter and 1.37 for Municipal Limeño. With these lambdas a Poisson model estimates ~59% probability that both teams score at least once (1 - e^-1.56 - e^-1.37 + e^-2.93 ≈ 0.59). This aligns with seasonal BTTS rates: 55% for Inter, 50% for Municipal Limeño and a league level of 53%; additionally Inter’s last 5 matches show BTTS at 60% while Municipal Limeño is only 20%, producing a mixed but prevailing signal toward BTTS. Counterarguments include Inter’s higher clean sheet expected rate (41%) and slightly lower recent xG for the home side (1.13 over 5 matches) versus 1.38 for the away side, but Municipal Limeño concedes on average 1.36 goals this season and has just 23% clean sheets, so they frequently concede. Considering the xG-based estimate (~59% probability) and seasonal support in the 53–55% range, I recommend a "BTTS - Yes" selection with a 60% stake vs 40% for "No" as the most likely choice.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives Inter 1.56 expected goals (xG_for Inter 1.58; average xG against Municipal 1.53) and Municipal Limeño 1.37 (xG_for visitors 1.29; average xG against Inter 1.45), totaling around 2.93 goals. That sum is above the league average of 2.69 and translates to approximately a 79% chance of Over 1.5 goals, about 56% for Over 2.5 goals and roughly 34% for Over 3.5 goals according to a Poisson distribution. Inter averages 10.82 shots and 4.05 on target with a 15% conversion rate, versus 8.5 shots, 3.5 on target and 13% for Municipal, giving the hosts an offensive edge. Both teams feature a significant share of matches with goals: Inter BTTS 55% and Municipal 50%, while matches with Over 1.5 goals occur in 68% and 73% of games respectively, so the risk of goals from both sides is real. In light of these figures the strongest play is Over 1.5 (highest probability and clear xG/shots advantage for the hosts).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The 1/1 scenario is most likely because the hosts lead at the break in 45% of matches (10 instances) and score an average of 0.59 goals before halftime while conceding only 0.27, giving them a clear advantage in the first half. Over the full match the hosts win 55% of games and average 1.59 goals versus 1.14 for the visitors, and the hosts’ xG of 1.58 compared to 1.29 confirms the higher quality of chances. Additionally, the hosts have scored 7 goals in the 31–45 minute interval versus just 3 for the visitors, and they add an average of 1.0 goal in the second half, so the probability of maintaining or extending the lead is high. Although in the last 5 matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), over the season visitors lead at the break in only 27% (6 instances), so the short-term form of the visitors carries less weight than the hosts’ season-long statistics. With a higher average of shots (10.82 vs 8.5) and more shots on target (4.05 vs 3.5), the “hosts lead at the break and win” Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter | Municipal Limeño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Municipal Limeño is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Inter · 2 pts / game - Municipal Limeño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Municipal Limeño is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.15 goals / game - Inter · 1.36 goals / game - Municipal Limeño
Municipal Limeño is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - Inter · 1.16 goals / game - Municipal Limeño
Inter scores in 66% of games (27 of 41 games), while Municipal Limeño keeps a clean sheet in 32% (14 of 44 games).
Municipal Limeño scores in 77% of games (34 of 44 games), while Inter keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 41 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter
Over / Under - Municipal Limeño
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Municipal Limeño is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Inter · 1.43 pts / game - Municipal Limeño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Municipal Limeño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter
Municipal Limeño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Inter | Liga | Municipal Limeño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.54 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJuan Carlos Argueta
- InterGoalEmerson Saúl Mauricio Aquino
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Inter's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Municipal Limeño. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter vs Municipal Limeño?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Inter 2:1 Municipal Limeño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Municipal Limeño?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inter won 0, Municipal Limeño won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter vs Municipal Limeño?
Inter score 1.15 goals per game on average and Municipal Limeño 1.36. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Inter's matches and 52% of Municipal Limeño's.
What form are Inter and Municipal Limeño in?
Over the last 5 games Inter have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Municipal Limeño 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter vs Municipal Limeño?
The statistical background for Inter vs Municipal Limeño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.