Istra 1961 vs Gorica: match statistics
Istra 1961 shows solid form at home with 40% wins and 40% draws in home matches, giving them a psychological advantage. Gorica, however, performs significantly worse away from home – only 20% away wins and 50% losses, and additionally, they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season. The difference in average goals conceded is significant: Istra concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Gorica concedes as many as 1.5 away. The form in the last five matches is comparable for both teams (0.8 points per game), but Gorica's away goal difference (-5) is clearly negative. Considering xG statistics, where Istra has a slightly better expected goal balance at home (1.43 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against) compared to Gorica away (1.47 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against), the hosts have a real chance to secure three points. Nevertheless, Istra's high percentage of draws at home (40%) and the balanced nature of both teams suggest that a share of the points is also likely.
Istra 1961 vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Istra 1961 played against Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Istra 1961 has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Gorica has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Istra 1961 scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.45. Gorica scores 1.05 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Istra 1961's games and 59% of Gorica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 50%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gorica has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.31 per game. Istra 1961 takes 10.2 shots per game, while Gorica takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Istra 1961 leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Gorica leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Istra 1961's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Gorica, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Istra 1961 shows solid form at home with 40% wins and 40% draws in home matches, giving them a psychological advantage. Gorica, however, performs significantly worse away from home – only 20% away wins and 50% losses, and additionally, they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season. The difference in average goals conceded is significant: Istra concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Gorica concedes as many as 1.5 away. The form in the last five matches is comparable for both teams (0.8 points per game), but Gorica's away goal difference (-5) is clearly negative. Considering xG statistics, where Istra has a slightly better expected goal balance at home (1.43 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against) compared to Gorica away (1.47 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against), the hosts have a real chance to secure three points. Nevertheless, Istra's high percentage of draws at home (40%) and the balanced nature of both teams suggest that a share of the points is also likely.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Istra 1961 is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Istra 1961 · 1.05 goals / game - Gorica
Istra 1961 scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
Gorica scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Istra 1961
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Istra 1961 · 1.41 pts / game - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Istra 1961
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.77 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Istra 1961's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gorica. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 0:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Gorica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1, Gorica won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
Istra 1961 score 1.32 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.05. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Istra 1961's matches and 59% of Gorica's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gorica 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
The statistical background for Istra 1961 vs Gorica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.