Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildData current as of September 01, 2026

Keflavík vs Valur: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Keflavík vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Keflavík plays Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026.

Recent form

Keflavík has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Valur has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Keflavík scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.71. Valur scores 1.76 and allows 2.10. Games in this league average 3.90 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Keflavík's games and 71% of Valur's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 71%, compared with league averages of 70% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Valur has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.64 per game. Keflavík takes 14.9 shots per game, while Valur takes 15.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Keflavík leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Valur leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Keflavík's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Valur, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Úrvalsdeild games average 3.90 goals. Both teams score in 70% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.52Goals scored / game1.76
KeflavíkValur
1.71Goals allowed / game2.1
KeflavíkValur
45%Average possession51%
KeflavíkValur
4.52Shots on target / game5.52
KeflavíkValur

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.9Shots per game15.57
KeflavíkValur
4.52Shots on target5.52
KeflavíkValur
10.2%Shot conversion11.3%
KeflavíkValur
45%Possession51%
KeflavíkValur
1.64xG for1.79
KeflavíkValur
1.72xG against2.22
KeflavíkValur

Shooting quality

Keflavík: AttackingValur: Attacking
KeflavíkValur
Accuracy (shots on target)30%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Keflavík is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Keflavík · 1 pts / game - Valur

Keflavík
WLWWL
Season result split
38% W19% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-9
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Valur
LWDLD
Season result split
33% W14% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-11
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 2.17Opponent xG: 2.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valur is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.52 goals / game - Keflavík · 1.76 goals / game - Valur

Keflavík is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.71 goals / game - Keflavík · 2.1 goals / game - Valur

Keflavík scoring profile: very strong

Keflavík scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).

Valur scoring profile: very strong

Valur scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)37
KeflavíkValur
36Goals conceded (season)44
KeflavíkValur
3.24Average goals per game3.86
KeflavíkValur
7Goals scored (last 5)11
KeflavíkValur
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
KeflavíkValur

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal81%
KeflavíkValur
33%2 goals52%
KeflavíkValur
19%3 goals29%
KeflavíkValur
5%4 goals14%
KeflavíkValur

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal90%
KeflavíkValur
48%2 goals67%
KeflavíkValur
24%3 goals33%
KeflavíkValur
10%4 goals14%
KeflavíkValur

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time33%
KeflavíkValur
5%BTTS in both halves10%
KeflavíkValur
24%Scored in both halves38%
KeflavíkValur

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
KeflavíkValur
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
KeflavíkValur
20%BTTS - last 580%
KeflavíkValur

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
KeflavíkValur
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
KeflavíkValur
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
KeflavíkValur

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
KeflavíkValur
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
KeflavíkValur
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
KeflavíkValur

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Keflavík is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / game - Keflavík · 1.24 pts / game - Valur

Keflavík - half-time state
38% leading33% draw29% trailing
Valur - half-time state
29% leading38% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per game (1st half)1.24
KeflavíkValur
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.86
KeflavíkValur
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)1.05
KeflavíkValur
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.9
KeflavíkValur
52%Clean sheet before half-time43%
KeflavíkValur
43%No goal before half-time38%
KeflavíkValur

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.14
KeflavíkValur
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
KeflavíkValur
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.05
KeflavíkValur
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.95
KeflavíkValur
38%Clean sheet after half-time29%
KeflavíkValur
43%No goal after half-time43%
KeflavíkValur

Keflavík - second-half results

33% W29% R38% P
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Valur - second-half results

29% W29% R43% P
26
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Keflavík - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.00
Goals scored / game1.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Valur - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.80
Goals scored / game0.61.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.63.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Keflavík
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
4
5
16-30
9
3
31-45
6
10
46-60
5
2
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Valur
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
8
7
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
6
61-75
12
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Keflavík

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Valur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

KeflavíkLigaValur
Average goals per game 3.243.90 3.86
Both teams scored 71%70% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%69% 71%
Clean sheets 24%16% 10%
Goal before half-time 86%82% 86%
Goal after half-time 81%86% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.90
Average goals per game
70%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.10
Home goals / game
1.80
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
14%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Keflavík's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Valur. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Keflavík and Valur play?

Keflavík face Valur on September 5, 2026 in Úrvalsdeild. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Keflavík vs Valur?

Keflavík score 1.52 goals per game on average and Valur 1.76. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Keflavík's matches and 71% of Valur's.

What form are Keflavík and Valur in?

Over the last 5 games Keflavík have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Valur 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keflavík vs Valur?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Keflavík vs Valur: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.