Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: match statistics
Aberdeen appears to be the favorite in this match despite their weaker away results. Kilmarnock are in disastrous form with just a 9% home win rate and a series of five consecutive defeats, conceding 12 goals in the process. Aberdeen have collected 6 points (two wins) in their last five matches, showing an improvement in form, while the hosts have managed only 0.2 points per game in that period. xG statistics indicate that Aberdeen (1.19) create better chances away than Kilmarnock do at home (1.31), and with the hosts' defense conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game, the visitors have a real chance for a positive result. The difference in both teams' current form and Kilmarnock's terrible home record point to an Aberdeen victory.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kilmarnock played against Aberdeen in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Kilmarnock has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Aberdeen has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kilmarnock scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.87. Aberdeen scores 1.13 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Kilmarnock's games and 35% of Aberdeen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 30%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aberdeen has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.20 per game. Kilmarnock takes 10.3 shots per game, while Aberdeen takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Aberdeen leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Aberdeen, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aberdeen appears to be the favorite in this match despite their weaker away results. Kilmarnock are in disastrous form with just a 9% home win rate and a series of five consecutive defeats, conceding 12 goals in the process. Aberdeen have collected 6 points (two wins) in their last five matches, showing an improvement in form, while the hosts have managed only 0.2 points per game in that period. xG statistics indicate that Aberdeen (1.19) create better chances away than Kilmarnock do at home (1.31), and with the hosts' defense conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game, the visitors have a real chance for a positive result. The difference in both teams' current form and Kilmarnock's terrible home record point to an Aberdeen victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aberdeen is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 0.6 pts / game - Aberdeen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aberdeen is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.13 goals / game - Aberdeen
Aberdeen is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.87 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.3 goals / game - Aberdeen
Kilmarnock scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Aberdeen scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Aberdeen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 1.04 pts / game - Aberdeen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.74 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Aberdeen. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 3:0 Aberdeen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0, Aberdeen won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock score 0.87 goals per game on average and Aberdeen 1.13. The Premiership average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Kilmarnock's matches and 35% of Aberdeen's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Aberdeen in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Aberdeen 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
The statistical background for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.