Scotland - PremiershipRugby ParkData current as of October 15, 2026

Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren: match statistics

Kilmarnock crest
Kilmarnock
0 : 1half-time 0:1
St. Mirren crest
St. Mirren

Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kilmarnock played against St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on September 2, 2026. Venue: Rugby Park. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Kilmarnock has 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. St. Mirren has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.33 points per game.

Scoring records

Kilmarnock scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 4.33. St. Mirren scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Kilmarnock's games and 33% of St. Mirren's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 33%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

St. Mirren has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.30 per game. Kilmarnock takes 11.0 shots per game, while St. Mirren takes 17.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. St. Mirren leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For St. Mirren, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

St. Mirren arrive with an excellent away record: they have won both of their matches so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding none. Kilmarnock, meanwhile, lost their only home match, conceding as many as 5 goals with an against xG of 3.52 and without a single clean sheet. The visitors create more chances away from home, averaging 15 shots and 7 on target compared with Kilmarnock’s 10 and 6, while their xG stands at 1.70 versus 1.35 for the hosts. Recent form also slightly favors St. Mirren: they have collected 9 points from five matches, compared with Kilmarnock’s 7, although both teams have scored 8 goals during this period. The key factor should be the difference in defensive organization, making an away win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: Kilmarnock have recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while St. Mirren have done so in 40%. Both teams have averaged 1.6 goals scored during this period, while Kilmarnock have conceded 2.2 goals per match and St. Mirren 1.8. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.36 for the hosts and 1.44 for the visitors, alongside high xG conceded by their opponents: 1.90 and 1.64 respectively. St. Mirren average 7 shots on target compared with Kilmarnock’s 4, strengthening the visitors’ chances of scoring, although the hosts should also be capable of exploiting the opponent’s recently less stable defense. Seasonal data from a very small sample, in which both teams kept clean sheets in 100% of matches, contradicts their five-match form; therefore, the current BTTS trend carries greater weight.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams have averaged 1.6 goals scored over their last five matches, but Kilmarnock conceded 2.2 goals per game during this period, compared with 1.8 for St. Mirren, raising the baseline goal expectations. Their attacking potential is supported by the xG figures: 1.41 for the hosts and 1.70 for the visitors, with 1.06 and 1.60 xG conceded by their opponents, respectively. At the same time, the data from current matches in these roles is highly cautious: both teams kept a clean sheet, and 100% of such games produced no more than 2.5 goals. Over their last five appearances, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of Kilmarnock's matches and 40% of St. Mirren's, making a three-goal scenario realistic, while four or more goals remain clearly less likely. The strongest edge therefore lies with Under 3.5, as it combines the attacking quality of both sides with their defensive stability so far in this home-and-away setup.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a St. Mirren win in the match, as Kilmarnock were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and did not lead in any of them. St. Mirren also failed to establish a clear advantage before half-time, drawing in 2 of those 5 matches and averaging just 0.4 goals during that period. However, the visitors have a more favourable attacking profile in the season data, with an xG of 1.70 compared with the hosts’ 1.41, while also averaging 7 shots on target per match against Kilmarnock’s 4. After the break, St. Mirren won in 60% of their last five matches, whereas Kilmarnock conceded an average of 1.2 goals during this period, increasing the likelihood of the visitors deciding a closely contested opening.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
9Shots10
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
2Shots on target1
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
1.01xG1.01
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
7Corners3
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
40Dangerous attacks41
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
12Fouls10
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
2Cards2
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

KilmarnockSt. Mirren
1.33Goals scored / game2
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
4.33Goals allowed / game1
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
44%Average possession46%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
4.67Shots on target / game6.67
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11Shots per game17
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
4.67Shots on target6.67
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
12.1%Shot conversion11.8%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
44%Possession46%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
1.3xG for1.84
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
2.47xG against1.63
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

Shooting quality

Kilmarnock: Counter-attackingSt. Mirren: Attacking
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
Accuracy (shots on target)42%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kilmarnock
LLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 4.3xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 2.47BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 100%
St. Mirren
WWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

St. Mirren is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 2 goals / game - St. Mirren

St. Mirren is 333% better for: goals allowed per game.

4.33 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1 goals / game - St. Mirren

Kilmarnock scoring profile: mixed

Kilmarnock scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).

St. Mirren scoring profile: very strong

St. Mirren scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 games).

4Goals scored (season)6
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
13Goals conceded (season)3
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
5.67Average goals per game3
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
4Goals scored (last 5)6
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
13Goals conceded (last 5)3
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
33%2 goals67%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
33%3 goals33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
0%4 goals0%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
100%2 goals33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
100%3 goals33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
100%4 goals0%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
33%BTTS in both halves0%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
33%Scored in both halves33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
67%BTTS - last 533%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
67%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St. Mirren is 606% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.33 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 2.33 pts / game - St. Mirren

Kilmarnock - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing
St. Mirren - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.33Points per game (1st half)2.33
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
2.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
2.67Average goals (1st half)2
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
0%Clean sheet before half-time67%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
67%No goal before half-time33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per game (2nd half)2
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
3Average goals (2nd half)1
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
0%Clean sheet after half-time67%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
33%No goal after half-time33%
KilmarnockSt. Mirren

Kilmarnock - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

St. Mirren - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kilmarnock - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.330.00
Goals scored / game0.31.0
Goals allowed / game2.32.0
Average goals per game2.73.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%67%
3 goals67%67%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference-6-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1
St. Mirren - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.332.00
Goals scored / game1.30.7
Goals allowed / game0.70.3
Average goals per game2.01.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

St. Mirren
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 3.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
147%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.86
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
274%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

St. Mirren

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

KilmarnockLigaSt. Mirren
Average goals per game▲ 5.672.95• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%53%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%58%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 0%26%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%79%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%95%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.58
Away goals / game
+-13%
Home attack advantage
+-15%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
95%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. St. MirrenGoalFraser TaylorAssist: Nikolas Agrafiotis
  2. KilmarnockYellow cardGreg Kiltie
  3. St. MirrenYellow cardNikolas Agrafiotis
  4. St. MirrenSubstitutionOn: Jake YoungOff: Nikolas Agrafiotis
  5. St. MirrenSubstitutionOn: Luke ThomasOff: Christopher Robert Mochrie
  6. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Rory McKenzieOff: Mark O'Hara
  7. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Bailey RiceOff: Thomas Richard Lowery
  8. St. MirrenYellow cardJayden Richardson
  9. KilmarnockYellow cardBailey Rice

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against St. Mirren. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?

The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 0:1 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and St. Mirren?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 3, St. Mirren won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?

Kilmarnock score 1.33 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 2.00. The Premiership average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Kilmarnock's matches and 33% of St. Mirren's.

What form are Kilmarnock and St. Mirren in?

Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 0-0-3 record (0.00 points per game) and St. Mirren 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.