Kongsvinger vs Haugesund: match statistics

Haugesund go into this match as league leaders and have won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 goals during that run, while Kongsvinger have netted 16 and recorded 3 victories. The visitors are highly effective away from home, averaging 3.22 goals, 7.44 shots on target and a 22% finishing rate per match, compared with the hosts’ 3.00 goals, 6.38 shots on target and 19% conversion rate. However, Kongsvinger have a clear home advantage, winning 75% of their matches there, maintaining 57% possession and failing to score in none of their games. Both defenses allow plenty of chances, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.63 goals at home and Haugesund conceding as many as 2.44 away, which points towards an open game. I rate the visitors’ chances slightly higher due to their better current form, greater goal output and league-leading position, although Kongsvinger are very likely to score.

The signal for both teams to score is very strong, as BTTS occurred in 88% of Kongsvinger matches and 78% of Haugesund matches, clearly above the league average of 62%. In their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in all 5 of 5 fixtures, while each conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match during this period. Kongsvinger average 3.25 goals scored, while Haugesund average 3.22, with high xG figures of 2.05 and 1.87, respectively. In addition, the hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 13% of matches, and the visitors in 22%, while neither team has ended a seasonal fixture without scoring. The BTTS - Yes scenario is therefore the most likely, as both attacks are effective and the defenses regularly allow opponents to find the net.

Both teams have recorded at least 2 goals in every league match: 100% for this line, providing very strong support for Over 1.5 goals. Kongsvinger produce an average of 2.05 xG at home, while Haugesund generate 1.87 xG, with the visitors conceding an average of 2.44 goals per match. In their last five fixtures, Kongsvinger scored 16 goals and Haugesund as many as 19, with both teams playing exclusively in matches featuring at least 3 goals during this period. Additionally, both sides scored and conceded in 100% of their last five appearances, making the 1.5 line clearly more favourable than the higher, more volatile lines.

The strongest scenario is Haugesund leading at half-time and holding on to win, as the visitors were ahead at the break in 6 matches, accounting for 67% of their games, and achieved this in 5 of their last 5 fixtures. In the same period, Haugesund averaged 2.2 goals before half-time compared with Kongsvinger’s 1.8, while their record over those five matches stands at 4 wins and just 1 defeat. Kongsvinger remain highly dangerous at home, averaging 3.25 goals and winning 75% of their matches, so the home-side turnaround scenarios still retain significant potential. Haugesund’s away defense does concede an average of 2.44 goals, but their high attacking efficiency—3.8 goals scored per match in their last five outings—supports the expectation that they will maintain their initial lead.