Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipInver ParkData current as of October 17, 2026

Larne vs Linfield: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Larne vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Larne plays Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game is scheduled for October 20, 2026. Venue: Inver Park.

Recent form

Larne has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Linfield has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Larne scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 0.75. Linfield scores 1.40 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Larne's games and 30% of Linfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 30%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.43 per game. Larne takes 12.0 shots per game, while Linfield takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Larne leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Linfield leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Linfield, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.87)
(3.30)
(3.95)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.13Goals scored / game1.4
LarneLinfield
0.75Goals allowed / game0.6
LarneLinfield
52%Average possession54%
LarneLinfield
5.75Shots on target / game4
LarneLinfield

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game11.1
LarneLinfield
5.75Shots on target4
LarneLinfield
17.7%Shot conversion12.6%
LarneLinfield
52%Possession54%
LarneLinfield
1.67xG for1.43
LarneLinfield
0.81xG against0.81
LarneLinfield

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingLinfield: Balanced
LarneLinfield
Accuracy (shots on target)48%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Linfield is 8% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Larne · 2.6 pts / game - Linfield

Larne
WWWWL
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-1
2.38 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Linfield
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W10% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 0.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 52% better for: goals scored per game.

2.13 goals / game - Larne · 1.4 goals / game - Linfield

Linfield is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.75 goals / game - Larne · 0.6 goals / game - Linfield

Larne scoring profile: strong

Larne scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 games).

Linfield scoring profile: strong

Linfield scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 games).

17Goals scored (season)14
LarneLinfield
6Goals conceded (season)6
LarneLinfield
2.88Average goals per game2
LarneLinfield
14Goals scored (last 5)8
LarneLinfield
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
LarneLinfield

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal90%
LarneLinfield
75%2 goals40%
LarneLinfield
25%3 goals10%
LarneLinfield
13%4 goals0%
LarneLinfield

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal40%
LarneLinfield
25%2 goals10%
LarneLinfield
13%3 goals10%
LarneLinfield
0%4 goals0%
LarneLinfield

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time0%
LarneLinfield
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LarneLinfield
50%Scored in both halves30%
LarneLinfield

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
LarneLinfield
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
LarneLinfield
40%BTTS - last 540%
LarneLinfield

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
LarneLinfield
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
LarneLinfield
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LarneLinfield

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
LarneLinfield
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
LarneLinfield
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LarneLinfield

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.25 pts / game - Larne · 1.7 pts / game - Linfield

Larne - half-time state
63% leading38% draw0% trailing
Linfield - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.25Points per game (1st half)1.7
LarneLinfield
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
LarneLinfield
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.1
LarneLinfield
1.25Average goals (1st half)0.6
LarneLinfield
88%Clean sheet before half-time90%
LarneLinfield
38%No goal before half-time60%
LarneLinfield

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per game (2nd half)2
LarneLinfield
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
LarneLinfield
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
LarneLinfield
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.4
LarneLinfield
75%Clean sheet after half-time60%
LarneLinfield
25%No goal after half-time20%
LarneLinfield

Larne - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Linfield - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Larne - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.002.00
Goals scored / game1.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+6+3
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Linfield - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Linfield
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.86
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Linfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaLinfield
Average goals per game▲ 2.882.75▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 38%48%▼ 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%52%▼ 30%
Clean sheets▲ 63%28%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%70%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%84%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+-4%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Larne's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses against Linfield. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

FAQ

When do Larne and Linfield play?

Larne face Linfield on October 20, 2026 in NIFL Premiership at Inver Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Linfield?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Linfield won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Linfield?

Larne score 2.13 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.40. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Larne's matches and 30% of Linfield's.

What form are Larne and Linfield in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Linfield 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Linfield?

The statistical background for Larne vs Linfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.