Lazio vs AC Milan: match statistics
AC Milan presents significantly better form and stats this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 17 wins and only 2 defeats. The visitors particularly stand out in away matches, boasting a 64% win rate and a 50% clean sheet ratio, conceding an average of only 0.64 goals per game. Lazio is going through a difficult period, occupying only the 10th position in the league, with a 28:28 goal difference and just one win in their last five matches. The hosts' form doesn't favor them either - in their last five home fixtures, they recorded only a 43% win rate and failed to score in 36% of their matches. Additionally, Milan displays higher efficiency (16% shot conversion away versus Lazio's 11% at home) and a better away goal difference (+16) compared to Lazio's home record (+3), making the visitors the clear favorites for this clash.
Lazio vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lazio play AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lazio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lazio scores 1.08 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lazio 29%, AC Milan 47%. Over 2.5: Lazio 32%, AC Milan 45%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.26. Lazio: 11.0 shots per match, AC Milan: 13.2.
Match halves
Lazio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.66. AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Lazio: 76-90+ (15 goals). AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
AC Milan presents significantly better form and stats this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 17 wins and only 2 defeats. The visitors particularly stand out in away matches, boasting a 64% win rate and a 50% clean sheet ratio, conceding an average of only 0.64 goals per game. Lazio is going through a difficult period, occupying only the 10th position in the league, with a 28:28 goal difference and just one win in their last five matches. The hosts' form doesn't favor them either - in their last five home fixtures, they recorded only a 43% win rate and failed to score in 36% of their matches. Additionally, Milan displays higher efficiency (16% shot conversion away versus Lazio's 11% at home) and a better away goal difference (+16) compared to Lazio's home record (+3), making the visitors the clear favorites for this clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lazio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lazio is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lazio · 0.8 pts / match - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Lazio · 1.39 goals / match - AC Milan
AC Milan is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Lazio · 0.92 goals / match - AC Milan
Lazio scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Lazio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lazio
Over / Under — AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Lazio · 1.34 pts / match - AC Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lazio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lazio
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lazio | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lazio 0 - 0 - 1 AC Milan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lazio vs AC Milan?
The Serie A match finished Lazio 1:0 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lazio vs AC Milan?
Lazio score 1.08 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.39. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Lazio's matches and 47% of AC Milan's.
What form are Lazio and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Lazio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AC Milan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lazio vs AC Milan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lazio vs AC Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.