Italy - Serie AStadio Comunale Via del MareData current as of October 15, 2026

Lecce vs Bologna: match statistics

Lecce crest
Lecce
1 : 2half-time 0:1
Bologna crest
Bologna

Lecce vs Bologna: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lecce played against Bologna in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Lecce has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bologna has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Lecce scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Bologna scores 0.60 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.85 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 20% of Lecce's games and 40% of Bologna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 20%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bologna has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.00 per game. Lecce takes 8.4 shots per game, while Bologna takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Lecce leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Bologna leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lecce's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Bologna, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.85 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Lecce have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Bologna have failed to win during this period, picking up just 2 points. At home, the hosts score an average of 1.5 goals, whereas the visitors have yet to score in either of their two away matches, despite averaging 1.08 xG. Lecce also have the edge in finishing: they convert 21% of their shots at home, compared with Bologna's 0% away conversion rate. The hosts' defense is a potential concern, conceding an average of 3 goals at home against opponents' xG of 2.21, although Bologna concede only 1 goal per away match on average. However, the visitors' poor finishing outweighs concerns about Lecce's defense, making a home win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is Bologna’s away record: an average of 0.0 goals and no goals scored in 100% of those matches, despite an xG of 1.08. Lecce have recorded BTTS in 67% of their home matches, but that figure is difficult to apply to an opponent that has averaged just 0.6 goals over its last five games. The hosts have conceded an average of 2.0 goals recently, so Bologna cannot be ruled out from scoring, especially as their xG over that period stands at 1.32. On the other hand, Lecce average 1.0 goals at home with an xG of 1.48, while Bologna concede an average of 1.0 goals away, giving the hosts a genuine chance to score. Despite that possibility, Bologna’s poor away scoring record makes it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: all of Bologna’s away matches so far have finished below this line, as have 67% of Lecce’s home games. Bologna have yet to score away from home and have averaged 0.6 goals across their last five matches, limiting expectations for their attack. Lecce average 15.33 shots and an xG of 1.48 at home, so they can create chances, but have scored an average of just 1.0 goal per game so far. Caution is warranted, as Lecce have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches; however, the projected total of 2.20 goals still points clearly to Under 3.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A half-time draw appears the most likely outcome: Bologna were level at the break in both of their away matches so far and failed to score in either, although this is a small sample. Lecce, however, have greater attacking potential, with an average xG of 1.48 compared with the visitors’ 1.08, and 15.33 shots compared with 10.5. After the break, the hosts score an average of 0.67 goals, while Bologna concede an average of 1.0 in this period and have yet to score away from home after half-time. Lecce’s recent form over their last five matches also supports a late win: they won two, while Bologna won none. A draw at the break remains plausible given the visitors’ cautious starts, but Lecce’s attacking edge gives the X/1 scenario a slight advantage over a draw at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
LecceBologna
19Shots9
LecceBologna
5Shots on target5
LecceBologna
1.99xG1.16
LecceBologna
10Corners3
LecceBologna
61Dangerous attacks33
LecceBologna
17Fouls8
LecceBologna
3Cards2
LecceBologna

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game0.6
LecceBologna
2Goals allowed / game1.2
LecceBologna
39%Average possession52%
LecceBologna
3.4Shots on target / game3.2
LecceBologna

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.4Shots per game13.4
LecceBologna
3.4Shots on target3.2
LecceBologna
11.9%Shot conversion4.5%
LecceBologna
39%Possession52%
LecceBologna
1xG for1.32
LecceBologna
1.99xG against1.27
LecceBologna

Shooting quality

Lecce: BalancedBologna: Balanced
LecceBologna
Accuracy (shots on target)40%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lecce is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Lecce · 0.4 pts / game - Bologna

Lecce
WLLWL
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Bologna
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W40% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lecce is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Lecce · 0.6 goals / game - Bologna

Bologna is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Lecce · 1.2 goals / game - Bologna

Lecce scoring profile: strong

Lecce scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).

Bologna scoring profile: mixed

Bologna scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

5Goals scored (season)3
LecceBologna
10Goals conceded (season)6
LecceBologna
3Average goals per game1.8
LecceBologna
5Goals scored (last 5)3
LecceBologna
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
LecceBologna

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal40%
LecceBologna
40%2 goals20%
LecceBologna
20%3 goals0%
LecceBologna
0%4 goals0%
LecceBologna

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal100%
LecceBologna
60%2 goals20%
LecceBologna
40%3 goals0%
LecceBologna
20%4 goals0%
LecceBologna

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
LecceBologna
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LecceBologna
0%Scored in both halves0%
LecceBologna

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
LecceBologna
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LecceBologna
20%BTTS - last 540%
LecceBologna

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
LecceBologna
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
LecceBologna
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LecceBologna

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
LecceBologna
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
LecceBologna
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
LecceBologna

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bologna is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / game - Lecce · 1.2 pts / game - Bologna

Lecce - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
Bologna - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)1.2
LecceBologna
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.2
LecceBologna
1.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
LecceBologna
1.8Average goals (1st half)0.4
LecceBologna
20%Clean sheet before half-time80%
LecceBologna
80%No goal before half-time80%
LecceBologna

After half-time (2nd half)

0.8Points per game (2nd half)0.6
LecceBologna
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
LecceBologna
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1
LecceBologna
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.4
LecceBologna
40%Clean sheet after half-time0%
LecceBologna
80%No goal after half-time80%
LecceBologna

Lecce - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bologna - second-half results

20% W0% D80% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lecce - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bologna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.41.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lecce
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bologna
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
16%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
36%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lecce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.99
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Bologna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

LecceLigaBologna
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.85▼ 1.80
Both teams scored▼ 20%56%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%56%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▼ 20%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%65%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%85%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LecceYellow cardIvan Ilić
  2. LecceSubstitutionOn: Oumar NgomOff: Ivan Ilić
  3. BolognaYellow cardTorbjørn Heggem
  4. LecceYellow cardYoussef Maleh
  5. BolognaSubstitutionOn: Eivind Fauske HellandOff: Torbjørn Heggem
  6. BolognaYellow cardOussama El Azzouzi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Lecce's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Bologna. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Bologna FC 1909
2 : 0
US Lecce
US Lecce
2 : 2
Bologna FC 1909

FAQ

What was the result of Lecce vs Bologna?

The Serie A match finished Lecce 1:2 Bologna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Bologna?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0, Bologna won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Bologna?

Lecce score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bologna 0.60. The Serie A average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Lecce's matches and 40% of Bologna's.

What form are Lecce and Bologna in?

Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bologna 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Bologna?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lecce vs Bologna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.