Lillestrøm vs Molde: match statistics
Lillestrøm vs Molde: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lillestrøm played against Molde in Eliteserien (Norway). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Åråsen Stadion. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Lillestrøm has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Molde has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Lillestrøm scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.38. Molde scores 2.10 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Lillestrøm's games and 71% of Molde's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Molde has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.42 per game. Lillestrøm takes 12.6 shots per game, while Molde takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Lillestrøm leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Molde leads at halftime in 48% and scores 1.10 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lillestrøm's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Molde, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eliteserien games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Molde sit 4th, while Lillestrøm are 6th. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals in that run, while the hosts have recorded 3 wins and scored 10 goals. Away from home, Molde average 2 goals and 6.4 shots on target per match, compared with Lillestrøm’s 1.7 goals and 3.7 shots on target at home. The xG figures also point to the visitors’ edge in chance creation: 1.79 away from home versus the hosts’ 1.40 on their own ground. However, backing Molde calls for caution, as they concede an average of 1.9 goals away from home, while Lillestrøm have won 50% of their home matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: the BTTS rate is 64% for Lillestrøm and 80% for Molde, compared with 57% league-wide. The hosts average 2.18 goals, while the visitors average 2.00, with Molde conceding 1.90 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in only 10% of games. The case for an away goal is also supported by their average xG of 1.79 and the fact that Lillestrøm have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches. Over the same period, both teams scored in 60% of their matches, which tempers the assessment slightly, but their season-long scoring records and Molde’s defensive frailties still clearly point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 82% of Lillestrøm’s matches and 90% of Molde’s. The hosts average 2.18 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.90, boosting the chances of Lillestrøm finding the net. Molde average 2.00 goals, and their attacking xG of 1.79 compares with 1.19 xG conceded by the hosts, giving the visitors a strong case to score as well. Over the last five matches, both teams cleared the 2.5-goal line in 80% of games, but taking the lower line reduces the risk associated with a 1:1 or 2:0 result. With 3.70 goals projected in total, Over 1.5 is the most likely pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lillestrøm have led at the break in 55% of their matches, while Molde have been trailing at half-time in 30% of their games. The hosts concede an average of 0.55 goals before the break, compared with 1.1 for the visitors, which points to Lillestrøm leading after 45 minutes. The hosts also have the edge in overall results: they win 64% of their matches and score an average of 2.18 goals, while Molde win 40% and concede an average of 1.9 goals. The visitors’ strong recent form—four wins and four half-time leads in five matches—also gives the 2/2 outcome a meaningful chance. Nevertheless, Lillestrøm’s advantage in season-long results and defensive performance makes them most likely to maintain their lead from half-time to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lillestrøm | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Molde is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Lillestrøm · 2.4 pts / game - Molde
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Molde is 58% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Lillestrøm · 2.1 goals / game - Molde
Lillestrøm is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Lillestrøm · 1.52 goals / game - Molde
Lillestrøm scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 games), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 games).
Molde scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 games), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
Over / Under - Molde
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Molde is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Lillestrøm · 1.71 pts / game - Molde
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Molde - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lillestrøm
Molde
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Lillestrøm | Liga | Molde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 85% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Lillestrøm's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Molde. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Molde?
The Eliteserien match finished Lillestrøm 2:2 Molde. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrøm and Molde?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 1, Molde won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lillestrøm vs Molde?
Lillestrøm score 1.33 goals per game on average and Molde 2.10. The Eliteserien average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Lillestrøm's matches and 71% of Molde's.
What form are Lillestrøm and Molde in?
Over the last 5 games Lillestrøm have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Molde 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lillestrøm vs Molde?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.