Germany - BundesligaMewa ArenaData current as of November 03, 2026

Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mainz 05 plays Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Mewa Arena.

Recent form

Mainz 05 has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bayern München has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Mainz 05 scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 2.13. Bayern München scores 3.38 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Mainz 05's games and 75% of Bayern München's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 88%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.73 to 1.88 per game. Mainz 05 takes 16.8 shots per game, while Bayern München takes 23.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Bayern München leads at halftime in 75% and scores 2.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mainz 05's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Bayern München, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.50 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(6.62)
(5.90)
(1.44)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mainz 05Bayern München
2.13Goals scored / game3.38
Mainz 05Bayern München
2.13Goals allowed / game1
Mainz 05Bayern München
51%Average possession66%
Mainz 05Bayern München
5.75Shots on target / game9.5
Mainz 05Bayern München

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.75Shots per game23.25
Mainz 05Bayern München
5.75Shots on target9.5
Mainz 05Bayern München
12.7%Shot conversion14.5%
Mainz 05Bayern München
51%Possession66%
Mainz 05Bayern München
1.88xG for2.73
Mainz 05Bayern München
1.42xG against1.02
Mainz 05Bayern München

Shooting quality

Mainz 05: AttackingBayern München: Dominant
Mainz 05Bayern München
Accuracy (shots on target)34%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bayern München is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Mainz 05 · 2.2 pts / game - Bayern München

Mainz 05
WLWLL
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Bayern München
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
63% W38% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-0
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
DWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.85Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayern München is 59% better for: goals scored per game.

2.13 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 3.38 goals / game - Bayern München

Bayern München is 113% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.13 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 1 goals / game - Bayern München

Mainz 05 scoring profile: very strong

Mainz 05 scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Bayern München scoring profile: very strong

Bayern München scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

17Goals scored (season)27
Mainz 05Bayern München
17Goals conceded (season)8
Mainz 05Bayern München
4.25Average goals per game4.38
Mainz 05Bayern München
11Goals scored (last 5)20
Mainz 05Bayern München
14Goals conceded (last 5)6
Mainz 05Bayern München

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal88%
Mainz 05Bayern München
50%2 goals88%
Mainz 05Bayern München
38%3 goals50%
Mainz 05Bayern München
25%4 goals38%
Mainz 05Bayern München

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal75%
Mainz 05Bayern München
63%2 goals25%
Mainz 05Bayern München
63%3 goals0%
Mainz 05Bayern München
25%4 goals0%
Mainz 05Bayern München

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time0%
Mainz 05Bayern München
38%BTTS in both halves0%
Mainz 05Bayern München
50%Scored in both halves75%
Mainz 05Bayern München

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
Mainz 05Bayern München
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Mainz 05Bayern München
80%BTTS - last 580%
Mainz 05Bayern München

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Mainz 05Bayern München
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Mainz 05Bayern München
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Mainz 05Bayern München

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Mainz 05Bayern München
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time88%
Mainz 05Bayern München
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time63%
Mainz 05Bayern München

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bayern München is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / game - Mainz 05 · 2.38 pts / game - Bayern München

Mainz 05 - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Bayern München - half-time state
75% leading13% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per game (1st half)2.38
Mainz 05Bayern München
1Goals scored (1st half)1.38
Mainz 05Bayern München
1.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.13
Mainz 05Bayern München
2.25Average goals (1st half)1.5
Mainz 05Bayern München
38%Clean sheet before half-time88%
Mainz 05Bayern München
38%No goal before half-time25%
Mainz 05Bayern München

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per game (2nd half)1.88
Mainz 05Bayern München
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)2
Mainz 05Bayern München
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Mainz 05Bayern München
2Average goals (2nd half)2.88
Mainz 05Bayern München
38%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Mainz 05Bayern München
25%No goal after half-time13%
Mainz 05Bayern München

Mainz 05 - second-half results

13% W75% D13% L
11
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bayern München - second-half results

50% W38% D13% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 63%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mainz 05 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game1.61.2
Average goals per game2.82.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals80%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bayern München - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.00
Goals scored / game1.82.2
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game2.03.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals40%80%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+8+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mainz 05
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Bayern München
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
5
0
16-30
5
0
31-45
6
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.32
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 2.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mainz 05

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

Bayern München

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
245%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Mainz 05LigaBayern München
Average goals per game▲ 4.253.50▲ 4.38
Both teams scored▲ 63%58%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%69%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▲ 38%25%• 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%76%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%88%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.50
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Mainz 05's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Bayern München. Games average 5.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Mainz 05 and Bayern München play?

Mainz 05 face Bayern München on November 7, 2026 in Bundesliga at Mewa Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mainz 05 and Bayern München?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mainz 05 won 0, Bayern München won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Mainz 05 score 2.13 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.38. The Bundesliga average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Mainz 05's matches and 75% of Bayern München's.

What form are Mainz 05 and Bayern München in?

Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bayern München 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.