Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Manchester City presents outstanding form with five consecutive victories and an impressive tally of 10 goals scored against just 2 conceded in their last five outings. The hosts are dominant on home turf with a 79% win rate, averaging 2.43 goals scored while conceding only 0.64 per match. Nottingham Forest faces a tough situation, averaging one point per game in their last five fixtures and holding a weak away record (29% wins, 57% losses). The visitors struggle with clinicality (9% shot conversion) and frequently fail to score on the road (36% FTS%). The disparity in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.86 vs 1.27) unequivocally points to a decisive Manchester City victory, as they are expected to control proceedings through superior possession (59% vs 47%) and significantly higher offensive efficiency.
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Manchester City played against Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Manchester City has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Nottingham Forest has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Manchester City scores 2.04 goals per game and allows 0.89. Nottingham Forest scores 0.93 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Manchester City's games and 39% of Nottingham Forest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Manchester City has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.49 per game. Manchester City takes 14.2 shots per game, while Nottingham Forest takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Manchester City leads at halftime in 68% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Manchester City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (17 goals). For Nottingham Forest, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester City presents outstanding form with five consecutive victories and an impressive tally of 10 goals scored against just 2 conceded in their last five outings. The hosts are dominant on home turf with a 79% win rate, averaging 2.43 goals scored while conceding only 0.64 per match. Nottingham Forest faces a tough situation, averaging one point per game in their last five fixtures and holding a weak away record (29% wins, 57% losses). The visitors struggle with clinicality (9% shot conversion) and frequently fail to score on the road (36% FTS%). The disparity in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.86 vs 1.27) unequivocally points to a decisive Manchester City victory, as they are expected to control proceedings through superior possession (59% vs 47%) and significantly higher offensive efficiency.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester City | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Manchester City is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Manchester City · 0.4 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 119% better for: goals scored per game.
2.04 goals / game - Manchester City · 0.93 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Manchester City is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - Manchester City · 1.46 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Manchester City scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
Nottingham Forest scores in 54% of games (15 of 28 meczów), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester City
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 179% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / game - Manchester City · 0.82 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 68% of games and wins 64%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester City | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.93 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Manchester City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nottingham Forest. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Manchester City 2:2 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester City score 2.04 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 0.93. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Manchester City's matches and 39% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Manchester City and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
The statistical background for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.