Mantova vs Carrarese: match statistics
Mantova displays significantly better home form than Carrarese does in away matches. The hosts win 38% of their home games and have an advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.31), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Carrarese is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per match in their last five games and loses 54% of their away matches. The visitors have scored only one goal in their last five matches, confirming their attacking woes. Mantova also has an advantage in possession (62% vs 49%) and better shooting accuracy in home games. The goal difference of both teams (-6 for Mantova at home vs -11 for Carrarese away) further favors the hosts, who should exploit the visitors' weakness and secure three valuable points.
Mantova vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mantova played against Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Mantova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Carrarese has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mantova scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.58. Carrarese scores 1.19 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Mantova's games and 46% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mantova has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.42 per game. Mantova takes 14.4 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Mantova leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mantova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mantova displays significantly better home form than Carrarese does in away matches. The hosts win 38% of their home games and have an advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.31), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Carrarese is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per match in their last five games and loses 54% of their away matches. The visitors have scored only one goal in their last five matches, confirming their attacking woes. Mantova also has an advantage in possession (62% vs 49%) and better shooting accuracy in home games. The goal difference of both teams (-6 for Mantova at home vs -11 for Carrarese away) further favors the hosts, who should exploit the visitors' weakness and secure three valuable points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mantova is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Mantova · 0.2 pts / game - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Mantova · 1.19 goals / game - Carrarese
Carrarese is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.58 goals / game - Mantova · 1.38 goals / game - Carrarese
Mantova scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
Carrarese scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrarese is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Mantova · 1.04 pts / game - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mantova
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.58 | 2.48 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mantova's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 1:1 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Carrarese?
Mantova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.19. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Mantova's matches and 46% of Carrarese's.
What form are Mantova and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carrarese 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Carrarese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Carrarese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.