Millwall vs Swansea City: match statistics
Millwall vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Millwall played against Swansea City in Championship (England). The game was played on October 13, 2026. Venue: The Den. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Millwall has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Swansea City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Millwall scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 1.67. Swansea City scores 1.67 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Millwall's games and 56% of Swansea City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 67%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.44 per game. Millwall takes 14.6 shots per game, while Swansea City takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Millwall leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Swansea City leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Swansea City, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swansea City sit 1st and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while 12th-placed Millwall have managed just one win over the same period. The visitors have won 75% of their away matches, but Millwall have won 50% of their home games, so Swansea do not hold a decisive advantage. The hosts average 2.25 goals at home compared with Swansea’s 2 goals away, although the quality of chances created is similar: 1.50 and 1.46 xG, respectively. Swansea’s defense is a key advantage: they have conceded 6 goals across the season, compared with Millwall’s 15, even though both teams average 1.25 goals conceded per match in these specific conditions. Swansea have scored in every away match, so their balanced attacking threat and stronger recent form give them a slight edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 60% of games, while Millwall averaged 1.8 goals compared with Swansea’s 1.6. The visitors averaged 2.0 goals away from home and failed to score in none of those matches, increasing the likelihood that they will find the net. Millwall kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home games, but conceded an average of 1.6 goals across their last 5 matches, with opponents posting an xG of 1.97. The bigger question is whether the hosts will score: they failed to find the net in 50% of their home games, although Swansea conceded an average of 1.25 goals away from home. Therefore, BTTS - Yes has a moderate edge, but Millwall’s strong defensive record at home limits confidence in this pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: every Swansea match in the sample featured at least 2 goals, compared with 50% of Millwall’s matches. The visitors average 2.0 goals, but Millwall concede just 0.25 at home, so I would not assume Swansea will repeat their high-scoring results without reservation. Recent form also points to at least two goals: Millwall’s last five matches averaged 3.4 goals, while Swansea’s last five averaged 2.6. Both teams also post similar attacking xG—1.37 for Millwall and 1.46 for Swansea—supporting a forecast of 2.85 total goals. The Over 2.5 line is less reliable given the hosts’ effective defense, and no more than 3 goals were scored in 75% of each team’s matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic outcome: Millwall were level at the break in 50% of the analyzed home matches, while Swansea did so in 25% of their away games. The hosts have yet to concede before half-time at home, so despite Swansea averaging 0.75 goals in the first half away from home, it is difficult to expect the visitors to take an early lead. After the break, the advantage shifts to Swansea, who average 1.25 goals in second halves away from home, compared with Millwall’s 0.25 at home. In addition, Millwall conceded an average of 1.4 goals after half-time across their last five matches, while Swansea won 3 of their last 5 games compared with the hosts’ one win. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Swansea win at full-time is the most likely single scenario, although Millwall’s strong home defense limits its advantage over the other picks.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Swansea City is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Millwall · 2 pts / game - Swansea City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.78 goals / game - Millwall · 1.67 goals / game - Swansea City
Swansea City is 114% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Millwall · 0.78 goals / game - Swansea City
Millwall scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
Swansea City scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / game - Millwall · 1.33 pts / game - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 44%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Millwall
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.44 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 20% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Millwall's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Swansea City. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Millwall 0:1 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Swansea City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1, Swansea City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Swansea City?
Millwall score 1.78 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.67. The Championship average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Millwall's matches and 56% of Swansea City's.
What form are Millwall and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Swansea City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Swansea City?
The statistical background for Millwall vs Swansea City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.