Italy - Serie BStadio Alberto BragliaData current as of October 20, 2026

Modena vs Cesena: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Modena vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Modena plays Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia.

Recent form

Modena has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Cesena has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Modena scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.14. Cesena scores 1.14 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Modena's games and 86% of Cesena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 29%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Modena has the higher season xG average, 2.14 to 1.32 per game. Modena takes 20.4 shots per game, while Cesena takes 12.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Modena leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Cesena leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Cesena, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.63)
(3.98)
(4.89)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.71Goals scored / game1.14
ModenaCesena
1.14Goals allowed / game1.29
ModenaCesena
56%Average possession45%
ModenaCesena
6.14Shots on target / game3.29
ModenaCesena

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

20.43Shots per game12.71
ModenaCesena
6.14Shots on target3.29
ModenaCesena
8.4%Shot conversion9%
ModenaCesena
56%Possession45%
ModenaCesena
2.14xG for1.32
ModenaCesena
1.12xG against1.78
ModenaCesena

Shooting quality

Modena: DominantCesena: Balanced
ModenaCesena
Accuracy (shots on target)30%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Modena is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Modena · 0.8 pts / game - Cesena

Modena
LDWWL
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.54Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Cesena
DDDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
14% W71% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-5-1
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.71 goals / game - Modena · 1.14 goals / game - Cesena

Modena is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Modena · 1.29 goals / game - Cesena

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

Cesena scoring profile: very strong

Cesena scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

12Goals scored (season)8
ModenaCesena
8Goals conceded (season)9
ModenaCesena
2.86Average goals per game2.43
ModenaCesena
7Goals scored (last 5)5
ModenaCesena
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
ModenaCesena

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
ModenaCesena
57%2 goals29%
ModenaCesena
29%3 goals0%
ModenaCesena
0%4 goals0%
ModenaCesena

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal100%
ModenaCesena
29%2 goals29%
ModenaCesena
0%3 goals0%
ModenaCesena
0%4 goals0%
ModenaCesena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
ModenaCesena
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ModenaCesena
29%Scored in both halves14%
ModenaCesena

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
ModenaCesena
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ModenaCesena
80%BTTS - last 580%
ModenaCesena

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
ModenaCesena
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
ModenaCesena
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ModenaCesena

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
ModenaCesena
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
ModenaCesena
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ModenaCesena

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cesena is 333% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.43 pts / game - Modena · 1.86 pts / game - Cesena

Modena - half-time state
14% leading0% draw86% trailing
Cesena - half-time state
57% leading14% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.43Points per game (1st half)1.86
ModenaCesena
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.71
ModenaCesena
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
ModenaCesena
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.14
ModenaCesena
14%Clean sheet before half-time57%
ModenaCesena
71%No goal before half-time43%
ModenaCesena

After half-time (2nd half)

2.43Points per game (2nd half)0.71
ModenaCesena
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
ModenaCesena
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
ModenaCesena
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.29
ModenaCesena
86%Clean sheet after half-time29%
ModenaCesena
14%No goal after half-time57%
ModenaCesena

Modena - second-half results

71% W29% D0% L
3
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding407%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.9

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cesena - second-half results

14% W29% D57% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Modena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.002.20
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.2
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-5+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Cesena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Modena
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Cesena
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
79%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Cesena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaCesena
Average goals per game▲ 2.862.73▼ 2.43
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▲ 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%56%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%66%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time• 86%86%• 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Modena's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Cesena. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Modena and Cesena play?

Modena face Cesena on October 24, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Alberto Braglia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Cesena?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 0, Cesena won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Cesena?

Modena score 1.71 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.14. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Modena's matches and 86% of Cesena's.

What form are Modena and Cesena in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cesena 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Cesena?

The statistical background for Modena vs Cesena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.