Modena vs Mantova: match statistics
Modena vs Mantova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Modena played against Mantova in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Modena has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Mantova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Modena scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 1.00. Mantova scores 1.56 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Modena's games and 56% of Mantova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 44%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Modena has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.55 per game. Modena takes 19.1 shots per game, while Mantova takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Modena leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Mantova leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Mantova, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Mantova have won 3 of their 4 away games, so both teams’ results point to a closely contested match. However, the quality of chances created favors the hosts: Modena average 2.74 xG at home, compared with Mantova’s 1.29 xG away, and register 7.25 shots on target against 4.75 for the visitors. Modena score 2 goals per home match, although Mantova concede just 0.75 goals away; their average of 1.53 xG conceded nonetheless suggests their defense could face a tougher test. The visitors are clinical, scoring 1.75 goals per away match, and both teams have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches. Modena’s edge in chance creation gives them a slight advantage, but Mantova’s finishing means a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams average 1.75 goals per match, and Mantova have scored in every away game they have played so far, which points to them finding the net. Modena have failed to score in 25% of their home matches, but their average xG is 1.56, compared with 1.53 xG conceded by Mantova’s defense, giving the hosts a solid case to score as well. BTTS - Yes has landed in 50% of Modena’s home matches and 75% of Mantova’s away matches, against a league average of 61%. The last five games paint a less clear picture: BTTS landed in 80% of Modena’s matches, but in only 40% of Mantova’s. The case for BTTS - Yes is therefore clear, but not overwhelming.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Modena’s matches and 75% of Mantova’s. Both teams average 1.75 goals scored, while over their last five matches Modena averaged 2.0 goals and Mantova 1.6. The hosts’ attacking potential is supported by their xG of 1.56, against 1.53 xG conceded by the visitors, making at least one Modena goal likely. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, as this line has been cleared in 50% of each team’s matches. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.87 goals, I’m backing Over 1.5, which is more clearly supported by the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mantova provides the strongest first-half signal: they led at the break in all 4 matches covered by the away statistics, scoring an average of 1.25 goals before half-time and conceding none. Modena drew at half-time in all 4 comparable home matches, but lost at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches overall, increasing the likelihood of an early away lead. Mantova could hold on to that lead, having won 3 of their 4 away matches without suffering a defeat, while Modena won 2 of their 4 home games. The main threat to the 2/2 pick is the hosts’ strong second-half performance: they score an average of 1.5 goals at home after the break, while Mantova score 0.5 after half-time. Therefore, 2/2 remains the most likely single scenario, although Modena’s advantage after the break also supports a significant probability of a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Modena is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Modena · 1.4 pts / game - Mantova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.89 goals / game - Modena · 1.56 goals / game - Mantova
Modena is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Modena · 1.11 goals / game - Mantova
Modena scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
Mantova scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Mantova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mantova is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Modena · 1.78 pts / game - Mantova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Modena
Mantova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.89 | 2.69 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Modena's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mantova. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Mantova?
The Serie B match finished Modena 1:1 Mantova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Mantova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 2, Mantova won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Mantova?
Modena score 1.89 goals per game on average and Mantova 1.56. The Serie B average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Modena's matches and 56% of Mantova's.
What form are Modena and Mantova in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Mantova 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Mantova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.