Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
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Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Morelia plays Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 20, 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Recent form
Morelia has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Morelia scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 1.13. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.38 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Morelia's games and 75% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 75%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.54 per game. Morelia takes 13.4 shots per game, while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Morelia leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 75% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Morelia is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Morelia · 2.2 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
2.13 goals / game - Morelia · 2.38 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Morelia is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Morelia · 1.25 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Morelia scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Morelia · 2.38 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 63%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Morelia
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.25 | 3.28 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Morelia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Morelia and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play?
Morelia face Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara on September 20, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 0, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Morelia score 2.13 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.38. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Morelia's matches and 75% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Morelia and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.