Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of November 03, 2026

Morelia vs Venados: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Morelia vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Morelia plays Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026.

Recent form

Morelia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Venados has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Morelia scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.27. Venados scores 2.07 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of Morelia's games and 80% of Venados's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 73%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Venados has the higher season xG average, 1.89 to 1.87 per game. Morelia takes 15.7 shots per game, while Venados takes 15.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Morelia leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Venados leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.47 after halftime.

When the teams score

Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Venados, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.70)
(3.50)
(2.26)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.73Goals scored / game2.07
MoreliaVenados
1.27Goals allowed / game1.67
MoreliaVenados
54%Average possession48%
MoreliaVenados
6.2Shots on target / game6.4
MoreliaVenados

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.73Shots per game15.93
MoreliaVenados
6.2Shots on target6.4
MoreliaVenados
11%Shot conversion13%
MoreliaVenados
54%Possession48%
MoreliaVenados
1.87xG for1.89
MoreliaVenados
1.25xG against1.55
MoreliaVenados

Shooting quality

Morelia: AttackingVenados: Attacking
MoreliaVenados
Accuracy (shots on target)39%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Venados is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Morelia · 1.8 pts / game - Venados

Morelia
DDLWL
Season result split
53% W13% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-5
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Venados
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-4
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Venados is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.73 goals / game - Morelia · 2.07 goals / game - Venados

Morelia is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.27 goals / game - Morelia · 1.67 goals / game - Venados

Morelia scoring profile: very strong

Morelia scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 games), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 games).

Venados scoring profile: very strong

Venados scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 games), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 games).

26Goals scored (season)31
MoreliaVenados
19Goals conceded (season)25
MoreliaVenados
3Average goals per game3.73
MoreliaVenados
6Goals scored (last 5)7
MoreliaVenados
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
MoreliaVenados

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal93%
MoreliaVenados
40%2 goals53%
MoreliaVenados
20%3 goals40%
MoreliaVenados
20%4 goals13%
MoreliaVenados

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
MoreliaVenados
33%2 goals47%
MoreliaVenados
13%3 goals20%
MoreliaVenados
0%4 goals13%
MoreliaVenados

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time27%
MoreliaVenados
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MoreliaVenados
33%Scored in both halves27%
MoreliaVenados

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
MoreliaVenados
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
MoreliaVenados
100%BTTS - last 580%
MoreliaVenados

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
MoreliaVenados
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MoreliaVenados
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
MoreliaVenados

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
MoreliaVenados
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time73%
MoreliaVenados
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time47%
MoreliaVenados

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Morelia is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / game - Morelia · 1.13 pts / game - Venados

Morelia - half-time state
47% leading20% draw33% trailing
Venados - half-time state
27% leading33% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per game (1st half)1.13
MoreliaVenados
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MoreliaVenados
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
MoreliaVenados
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.47
MoreliaVenados
60%Clean sheet before half-time40%
MoreliaVenados
47%No goal before half-time53%
MoreliaVenados

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per game (2nd half)1.67
MoreliaVenados
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)1.47
MoreliaVenados
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
MoreliaVenados
1.87Average goals (2nd half)2.27
MoreliaVenados
40%Clean sheet after half-time47%
MoreliaVenados
27%No goal after half-time27%
MoreliaVenados

Morelia - second-half results

40% W33% D27% L
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Venados - second-half results

40% W47% D13% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Morelia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Venados - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.80
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Morelia
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
6
31-45
9
1
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Venados
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
8
31-45
5
5
46-60
9
3
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.37
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
77%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Morelia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Venados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

MoreliaLigaVenados
Average goals per game▼ 3.003.21▲ 3.73
Both teams scored▲ 73%58%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%63%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▼ 20%23%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%76%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%83%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Morelia's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Venados. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Morelia and Venados play?

Morelia face Venados on November 7, 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Venados?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Venados won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Venados?

Morelia score 1.73 goals per game on average and Venados 2.07. The Ascenso MX average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Morelia's matches and 80% of Venados's.

What form are Morelia and Venados in?

Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Venados 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Venados?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.