Morelia vs Venados: match statistics
Morelia vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Morelia played against Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on November 8, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Morelia has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Venados has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Morelia scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.25. Venados scores 2.00 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Morelia's games and 81% of Venados's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 75%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.85 per game. Morelia takes 15.8 shots per game, while Venados takes 15.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Morelia leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Venados leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Venados, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morelia are favorites thanks to a clear home advantage: they win 57% of these matches and score an average of 2.43 goals, while Venados win just 13% of their away games and concede an average of 2.13 goals. The hosts also create better chances, averaging 1.91 xG at home compared with Venados’ 1.55 away, and their 7.29 shots on target per match versus the visitors’ 4.38 points to a greater threat in front of goal. Venados’ recent form is a positive, however: they have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches, while Morelia have won just once and conceded 8 goals. Even so, Venados’ away record, featuring a 50% defeat rate and a −7 goal difference, points to a home win, although Morelia’s average of 1.43 goals conceded at home gives the visitors a chance to score.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 71% of Morelia’s home matches and 88% of Venados’ away games, well above the league average of 57%. The hosts score an average of 3.0 goals at home, while the visitors concede 2.13 on the road, making a Morelia goal highly likely. Venados average 1.25 goals away from home and post an xG of 1.55, while Morelia concede 1.14 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 29% of games. Recent scoring form on both sides also supports BTTS - Yes: BTTS landed in 100% of Morelia’s and 80% of Venados’ five previous matches. There remains a risk that one team will fail to score, but the balance of season-long data and recent results points to goals for both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line landed in 100% of Morelia’s home matches and 88% of Venados’ away games. Morelia score an average of 3.0 goals at home, while Venados concede 2.13 on the road, pointing to goals from the hosts. Their attacking potential is supported by average xG figures of 2.22 for Morelia and 1.55 for Venados. Over 2.5 goals landed in 86% and 63% of their matches, respectively, but the teams’ last five games paint a more moderate picture, averaging 2.8 and 2.4 goals. Therefore, despite a projected total of 3.50 goals, I’m opting for the safer Over 1.5 line, backed by the most consistent historical results.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Morelia led at the break in 43% of their home matches, while Venados were trailing at half-time in 63% of their away games, supporting the case for the hosts to lead after the first half. Morelia score an average of 3.00 goals per home match and have won 86% of those games; Venados concede an average of 2.13 goals away from home and have lost 50% of their matches. The hosts also have the clearer attacking edge, with an average xG of 2.22 compared with 1.55 for the visitors. After the break, Morelia score an average of 2.29 goals at home, increasing the likelihood that they will hold or extend their lead. Recent form calls for caution: Morelia have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Venados have not lost any. However, the hosts’ advantage in the home and away statistics makes 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Morelia is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Morelia · 1.2 pts / game - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - Morelia · 2 goals / game - Venados
Morelia is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Morelia · 1.69 goals / game - Venados
Morelia scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 games), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 games).
Venados scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 games), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Morelia · 1.13 pts / game - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Morelia
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.16 | ▲ 3.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 82% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Morelia's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Venados. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 2:1 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Venados?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Morelia won 2, Venados won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Venados?
Morelia score 1.75 goals per game on average and Venados 2.00. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Morelia's matches and 81% of Venados's.
What form are Morelia and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Venados 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Venados?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.