MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II: match statistics
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MSV Duisburg played against Hoffenheim II in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
MSV Duisburg has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Hoffenheim II has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
MSV Duisburg scores 2.71 goals per game and allows 1.00. Hoffenheim II scores 2.00 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of MSV Duisburg's games and 57% of Hoffenheim II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 57%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
MSV Duisburg has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.55 per game. MSV Duisburg takes 14.0 shots per game, while Hoffenheim II takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.86 goals per game after halftime. Hoffenheim II leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
MSV Duisburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Hoffenheim II, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg sit top of the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while fifth-placed Hoffenheim II have recorded 3 wins over the same period. The hosts have won all 3 of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.67 goals, while the visitors average 1.33 goals away from home. Duisburg’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their home xG of 1.93 compared with Hoffenheim II’s away xG of 1.35; the hosts also average 5.67 shots on target, against 3.67 for the visitors. MSV’s defense concedes an average of just 0.33 goals at home and has kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, although Hoffenheim II’s away xG against of 1.68 suggests they allow opponents more chances than their average of 0.67 goals conceded would indicate. Hoffenheim II have won 2 of their 3 away matches, so they should not be underestimated, but the balance of attacking and defensive metrics points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 75% of Duisburg's matches, while the figure is only 33% in Hoffenheim II's games. Recent form supports BTTS - Yes: both teams scored in 80% of Duisburg's and 60% of Hoffenheim II's last 5 matches. The hosts average 2.5 goals per game and have yet to finish a match without scoring, while the visitors have averaged 2.0 goals across their last 5 outings. The risk is that Hoffenheim II failed to score in 33% of their matches; however, with Duisburg conceding an average of 1.5 goals, both teams finding the net remains the more likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
MSV Duisburg score an average of 2.5 goals at home and have averaged 2.4 goals in their last five matches, providing a strong basis for expecting the hosts to score. Hoffenheim II average 1.33 goals away from home, although Duisburg concede 1.5 goals per home match. The teams have averaged 3.4 and 3.0 total goals respectively across their last five matches, with at least three goals scored in 100% of Duisburg’s matches and 60% of Hoffenheim II’s. However, as the Over 2.5 goals line has been surpassed in only 33% of Hoffenheim II’s away matches, Over 1.5 goals is the safer choice. An estimated total of 3.10 goals, along with this line being surpassed in 75% of Duisburg’s home matches and 67% of Hoffenheim II’s away matches, points to value in this bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
MSV Duisburg led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches and averaged 1.75 first-half goals, while Hoffenheim II conceded an average of 0.67 goals before half-time away from home. The hosts average 15 shots, including 5.25 on target, compared with 10 shots and 3.67 on target for the visitors; their xG is 1.70, against Hoffenheim II’s 1.35. MSV’s recent form also supports a full-time win: 4 victories and an average of 2.4 goals scored in their last 5 matches, compared with 3 wins and 2.0 goals for the visitors. However, the risk of surrendering a lead is significant, as Hoffenheim II have not conceded after half-time in any of their 3 away matches, while MSV lost the second half in 2 of their 4 home games. Despite this, the hosts’ advantage before the break and their greater chance creation make an MSV lead at half-time followed by a full-time win the most likely single HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
MSV Duisburg is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 2 pts / game - Hoffenheim II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
2.71 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 2 goals / game - Hoffenheim II
MSV Duisburg is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.14 goals / game - Hoffenheim II
MSV Duisburg scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Hoffenheim II keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
Hoffenheim II scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
Over / Under - Hoffenheim II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim II is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 2 pts / game - Hoffenheim II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hoffenheim II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| MSV Duisburg | Liga | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.71 | 3.29 | ▼ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from MSV Duisburg's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Hoffenheim II. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 3:2 Hoffenheim II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MSV Duisburg won 1, Hoffenheim II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
MSV Duisburg score 2.71 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim II 2.00. The 3. Liga average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 71% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 57% of Hoffenheim II's.
What form are MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II in?
Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Hoffenheim II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.