NAC Breda vs Excelsior: match statistics
NAC Breda sits in 17th place and finds itself in a difficult situation, having not won any of the last five matches (0-3-2). The hosts have weak home form with 27% wins, but relatively decent scoring efficiency at home (1.27 goals per match). Excelsior, in 13th position, also presents poor form (0-4-1 in the last five), and performs even worse away - only 20% wins and as many as 2.3 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have similar shot conversion (9%) and defensive problems, suggesting a balanced encounter with a high chance of a draw. Considering the poor form of both teams, the slight advantage for the hosts, and statistics indicating a close matchup, a draw seems the most probable result of this match.
NAC Breda vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NAC Breda played against Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
NAC Breda has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Excelsior has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
NAC Breda scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.62. Excelsior scores 1.05 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of NAC Breda's games and 62% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 62%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.28 per game. NAC Breda takes 13.4 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
NAC Breda leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
NAC Breda's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NAC Breda sits in 17th place and finds itself in a difficult situation, having not won any of the last five matches (0-3-2). The hosts have weak home form with 27% wins, but relatively decent scoring efficiency at home (1.27 goals per match). Excelsior, in 13th position, also presents poor form (0-4-1 in the last five), and performs even worse away - only 20% wins and as many as 2.3 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have similar shot conversion (9%) and defensive problems, suggesting a balanced encounter with a high chance of a draw. Considering the poor form of both teams, the slight advantage for the hosts, and statistics indicating a close matchup, a draw seems the most probable result of this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NAC Breda | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Excelsior is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - NAC Breda · 0.8 pts / game - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - NAC Breda · 1.05 goals / game - Excelsior
NAC Breda is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.62 goals / game - NAC Breda · 1.76 goals / game - Excelsior
NAC Breda scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Excelsior scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NAC Breda
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - NAC Breda · 1.29 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NAC Breda
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NAC Breda | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 63% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 62% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 19% | • 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from NAC Breda's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Excelsior. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of NAC Breda vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished NAC Breda 0:2 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs Excelsior?
NAC Breda score 1.10 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.05. The Eredivisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of NAC Breda's matches and 62% of Excelsior's.
What form are NAC Breda and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Excelsior 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for NAC Breda vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.