Netherlands - Eerste DivisieRat Verlegh StadionData current as of October 21, 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles: match statistics

Reasoning:

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NAC Breda vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

NAC Breda plays Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Recent form

NAC Breda has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Heracles has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

NAC Breda scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.73. Heracles scores 3.27 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 3.49 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of NAC Breda's games and 64% of Heracles's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 82%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Heracles has the higher season xG average, 2.49 to 2.07 per game. NAC Breda takes 20.2 shots per game, while Heracles takes 22.4.

First-half and second-half trends

NAC Breda leads at halftime in 64% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Heracles leads at halftime in 73% and scores 1.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

NAC Breda's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Heracles, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.49 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.70)
(2.70)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

NAC BredaHeracles
2Goals scored / game3.27
NAC BredaHeracles
1.73Goals allowed / game1.18
NAC BredaHeracles
57%Average possession55%
NAC BredaHeracles
6.45Shots on target / game8.91
NAC BredaHeracles

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

20.18Shots per game22.36
NAC BredaHeracles
6.45Shots on target8.91
NAC BredaHeracles
9.9%Shot conversion14.6%
NAC BredaHeracles
57%Possession55%
NAC BredaHeracles
2.07xG for2.49
NAC BredaHeracles
1.07xG against1.05
NAC BredaHeracles

Shooting quality

NAC Breda: DominantHeracles: Dominant
NAC BredaHeracles
Accuracy (shots on target)32%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

NAC Breda is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - NAC Breda · 2 pts / game - Heracles

NAC Breda
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
55% W18% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-3
1.82 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 0.83BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Heracles
LWDWW
Season result split
82% W9% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-1
2.55 pts / game · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.60Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Heracles is 64% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - NAC Breda · 3.27 goals / game - Heracles

Heracles is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.73 goals / game - NAC Breda · 1.18 goals / game - Heracles

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

Heracles scoring profile: very strong

Heracles scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

22Goals scored (season)36
NAC BredaHeracles
19Goals conceded (season)13
NAC BredaHeracles
3.73Average goals per game4.45
NAC BredaHeracles
11Goals scored (last 5)12
NAC BredaHeracles
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
NAC BredaHeracles

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal91%
NAC BredaHeracles
82%2 goals91%
NAC BredaHeracles
18%3 goals73%
NAC BredaHeracles
9%4 goals36%
NAC BredaHeracles

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal73%
NAC BredaHeracles
64%2 goals36%
NAC BredaHeracles
18%3 goals9%
NAC BredaHeracles
9%4 goals0%
NAC BredaHeracles

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time27%
NAC BredaHeracles
9%BTTS in both halves0%
NAC BredaHeracles
36%Scored in both halves64%
NAC BredaHeracles

BTTS and goal count

73%Min. 3 goals and BTTS64%
NAC BredaHeracles
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
NAC BredaHeracles
60%BTTS - last 540%
NAC BredaHeracles

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
NAC BredaHeracles
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time64%
NAC BredaHeracles
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time36%
NAC BredaHeracles

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
NAC BredaHeracles
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time73%
NAC BredaHeracles
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time55%
NAC BredaHeracles

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heracles is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - NAC Breda · 2.36 pts / game - Heracles

NAC Breda - half-time state
64% leading9% draw27% trailing
Heracles - half-time state
73% leading18% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)2.36
NAC BredaHeracles
1Goals scored (1st half)1.64
NAC BredaHeracles
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
NAC BredaHeracles
1.64Average goals (1st half)2
NAC BredaHeracles
36%Clean sheet before half-time73%
NAC BredaHeracles
27%No goal before half-time18%
NAC BredaHeracles

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per game (2nd half)1.64
NAC BredaHeracles
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.64
NAC BredaHeracles
1.09Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
NAC BredaHeracles
2.09Average goals (2nd half)2.45
NAC BredaHeracles
36%Clean sheet after half-time45%
NAC BredaHeracles
45%No goal after half-time27%
NAC BredaHeracles

NAC Breda - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at halftime in 64% of games and wins 55%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Heracles - second-half results

45% W27% D27% L
26
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 73% of games and wins 82%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

NAC Breda - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.60
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Heracles - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.40
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Heracles
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
12
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
9
1
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.09
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Heracles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
214%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

NAC BredaLigaHeracles
Average goals per game▲ 3.733.49▲ 4.45
Both teams scored▲ 73%67%▼ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 73%66%▲ 82%
Clean sheets• 18%17%▲ 27%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%82%• 82%
Goal after half-time▼ 82%84%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.49
Average goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / game
1.53
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from NAC Breda's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Heracles. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Heracles Almelo
0 : 1
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
2 : 1
Heracles Almelo

FAQ

When do NAC Breda and Heracles play?

NAC Breda face Heracles on October 23, 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between NAC Breda and Heracles?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches NAC Breda won 2, Heracles won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs Heracles?

NAC Breda score 2.00 goals per game on average and Heracles 3.27. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 73% of NAC Breda's matches and 64% of Heracles's.

What form are NAC Breda and Heracles in?

Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Heracles 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs Heracles?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.