Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: match statistics
Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Asunción play Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 22:00. Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nacional Asunción: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Libertad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Asunción scores 1.41 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Asunción 68%, Libertad 41%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 45%, Libertad 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.34. Nacional Asunción: 12.6 shots per match, Libertad: 13.9.
Match halves
Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. Libertad: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). Libertad: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-0-3. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Nacional Asunción wins 60% of home matches, averages 1.7 goals scored and concedes only 0.9 goals per game, while Libertad wins 30% of away matches, averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.3 goals. In the last 5 matches Nacional has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws (7 scored and 4 conceded), averaging 2.2 points per match, whereas Libertad over the same period has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (9 scored and 7 conceded, averaging 1.4 points). Libertad registers slightly more shots away (14.7) and has 1.52 xG per game versus Nacional’s 1.39 xG at home, but lower finishing efficiency (10% vs 13%) and the fact they fail to score in 50% of away matches versus only 10% of Nacional’s home failures significantly reduce their effectiveness. Considering superior shot-end efficiency, better form stability and the home side’s lower average goals conceded, I assess probabilities as 60% for Nacional, 20% for a draw and 20% for Libertad.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 2 pts / match - Libertad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.55 goals / match - Libertad
Nacional Asunción is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.18 goals / match - Libertad
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Libertad scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional Asunción
Over / Under — Libertad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.32 pts / match - Libertad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Asunción
Libertad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nacional Asunción 2 - 0 - 3 Libertad. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 2:1 Libertad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Libertad?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 2, Libertad won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?
Nacional Asunción score 1.41 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.55. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 41% of Libertad's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Libertad in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Libertad 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.