Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nacional Asunción plays Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game is scheduled for September 2, 2026. Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Recent form
Nacional Asunción has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Libertad has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nacional Asunción scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 0.93. Libertad scores 1.61 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Nacional Asunción's games and 46% of Libertad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.35 per game. Nacional Asunción takes 12.4 shots per game, while Libertad takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Libertad leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nacional Asunción's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Libertad, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Libertad is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Nacional Asunción · 2.4 pts / game - Libertad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Nacional Asunción · 1.61 goals / game - Libertad
Nacional Asunción is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Nacional Asunción · 1.11 goals / game - Libertad
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 meczów), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Libertad scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
Over / Under - Libertad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nacional Asunción
Libertad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.38 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Nacional Asunción's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Libertad. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Nacional Asunción and Libertad play?
Nacional Asunción face Libertad on September 2, 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio Arsenio Erico. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Libertad?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 3, Libertad won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?
Nacional Asunción score 1.45 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.61. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 46% of Libertad's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Libertad in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Libertad 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.