Nacional vs Peñarol: match statistics
Nacional is showing solid form with three wins in their last five matches and an impressive undefeated record this season. However, their home statistics indicate issues with winning – 100% draws in home matches, despite high possession (66%). Peñarol demonstrates better scoring efficiency (6 goals in 3 matches), but has serious difficulties in away matches with 100% losses and an average of 2 goals conceded per game. xG values indicate Nacional's advantage (1.75 vs 1.43), but their inability to convert dominance into home wins along with Peñarol's poor away form suggest that the most likely scenario is a draw. Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets, which could lead to a thrilling, evenly-matched encounter.
Nacional vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nacional played against Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Nacional has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. Peñarol has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Nacional scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.67. Peñarol scores 2.00 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Nacional's games and 100% of Peñarol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 100%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.05 per game. Nacional takes 12.7 shots per game, while Peñarol takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Nacional leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Peñarol leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For Peñarol, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional is showing solid form with three wins in their last five matches and an impressive undefeated record this season. However, their home statistics indicate issues with winning – 100% draws in home matches, despite high possession (66%). Peñarol demonstrates better scoring efficiency (6 goals in 3 matches), but has serious difficulties in away matches with 100% losses and an average of 2 goals conceded per game. xG values indicate Nacional's advantage (1.75 vs 1.43), but their inability to convert dominance into home wins along with Peñarol's poor away form suggest that the most likely scenario is a draw. Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets, which could lead to a thrilling, evenly-matched encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional is 17% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / game - Nacional · 2 pts / game - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Nacional · 2 goals / game - Peñarol
Nacional is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Nacional · 1.33 goals / game - Peñarol
Nacional scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Peñarol scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional
Over / Under - Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Nacional · 1.33 pts / game - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nacional
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.50 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss against Peñarol. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Nacional 0:1 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Peñarol?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1, Peñarol won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Peñarol?
Nacional score 1.33 goals per game on average and Peñarol 2.00. The Primera División average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Nacional's matches and 100% of Peñarol's.
What form are Nacional and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Peñarol 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Peñarol?
The statistical background for Nacional vs Peñarol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.