Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa: match statistics
Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naft Gachsaran play Saipa in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 21 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Naft Gachsaran Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Naft Gachsaran: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Saipa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naft Gachsaran scores 0.74 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Saipa scores 0.88 and concedes 0.53. League average: 1.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naft Gachsaran 44%, Saipa 26%. Over 2.5: Naft Gachsaran 32%, Saipa 26%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Saipa has higher xG: 1.18 vs 0.66. Naft Gachsaran: 0.5 shots per match, Saipa: 4.1.
Match halves
Naft Gachsaran: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.35. Saipa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Naft Gachsaran: 76-90+ (10 goals). Saipa: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.59 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Saipa is the favorite for this match and I predict an away win; Saipa sits 5th in the table while Naft Gachsaran are 13th. This season Saipa have scored 20 and conceded 13, whereas Naft have a 18–25 record, clearly indicating the visitors’ defensive edge. Away, Saipa concedes only 0.58 goals per game on average and keep clean sheets in 67% of matches, while Naft at home concede 0.82 and have 36% clean sheets, so the visitors are more defensively stable. Saipa also constructs more chances — averaging 9.4 shots and 4.4 on target away with xG 1.3 — whereas Naft at home average 0.91 goals per game and xG data is unavailable, suggesting lower-quality attacking chances for the hosts; over the last 5 matches both teams have scored 5 goals each, but Saipa averages 1.6 points per game in the last 5 versus 1.2 for Naft. Therefore I assign a 44% probability to a Saipa win, 36% to a draw and 20% to a home victory, based on the superior goal record (20–13), higher chance-creation efficiency (xG 1.3, 9.4 shots) and more stable away defence.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naft Gachsaran | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -51% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.40 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.77 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Saipa is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran · 2.4 pts / match - Saipa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saipa is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran · 0.88 goals / match - Saipa
Saipa is 128% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran · 0.53 goals / match - Saipa
Naft Gachsaran scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Saipa keeps a clean sheet in 68% (23 of 34 matches).
Saipa scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Naft Gachsaran keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Naft Gachsaran
Over / Under — Saipa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saipa is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran · 1.44 pts / match - Saipa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naft Gachsaran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Saipa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naft Gachsaran
Saipa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Naft Gachsaran | Liga | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.94 | 1.59 | ▼ 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 30% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 22% | ▲ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Naft Gachsaran 0 - 1 - 0 Saipa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa?
The Azadegan League match finished Naft Gachsaran 2:1 Saipa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa?
Naft Gachsaran score 0.74 goals per game on average and Saipa 0.88. The Azadegan League average is 1.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Naft Gachsaran's matches and 26% of Saipa's.
What form are Naft Gachsaran and Saipa in?
Over the last 5 games Naft Gachsaran have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Saipa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.